Mr. Nguyen Van Huong - Head of Weather Forecast Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting provided information about the low pressure area in the eastern Philippines that is likely to strengthen into a storm and move into the East Sea.
Sir, could you please tell us the latest developments of the low pressure area in the eastern Philippines and the forecast time of entering the East Sea?
- The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that this morning (July 16), the low pressure area in the eastern part of the Philippines has strengthened into a tropical depression.
At 7:00 a.m. on July 16, the center of the tropical depression was at about 14.1 degrees north latitude; 131.8 degrees east longitude, about 1,000km east-southeast of Luzon Island (Philippines). The strongest wind near the center of the tropical depression is level 6 (39 - 49km/h), gusting to level 8; moving slowly in the west-northwest direction at a speed of about 5 - 10km/h.
It is forecasted that in the next 1-2 days, this tropical depression will continue to move west-northwest and is likely to strengthen into a storm. After strengthening into a storm in the northern area of Luzon Island (Philippines), this storm will overcome the northern area of Luzon Island (Philippines) and enter the East Sea on weekends (around July 19 - 20).
If a storm is formed, where will this storm head and what is the probability, sir?
- Currently, the tropical depression is still in the forming stage and has not yet become a storm. The dominating atmospheric systems such as the southwest monsoon, subtropical high pressure... are still unstable, causing the trajectory and development intensity of this system to have many potential fluctuations. It is likely that when it strengthens into a storm and moves into the East Sea, the storm may move west-northwest, towards the North of the Gulf of Tonkin in the coming days with a probability of about 50 - 60%.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting is closely monitoring and will promptly update in the next bulletins to serve the direction and response of all levels and sectors.
What is the initial forecast for the notable impact of this storm if it forms, sir?
- Due to the influence of the tropical convergence zone connecting with the circulation of tropical depressions or storms (likely moving into the East Sea), in the East Sea (including the special areas of Hoang Sa and Truong Sa) from July 19 to 20, there will be strong winds, high waves, and rough seas.
With the scenario of moving west-northwest and if it is heading towards the mainland of our country, beware of the risk of a widespread heavy rain in the Northern region and the provinces from Thanh Hoa to Nghe An from July 20 to July 25.
The development of rain is still very complicated, depending on the direction of movement and the impact of the tropical depression or storm.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting recommends that authorities, people and forces operating at sea regularly monitor updates, proactively take preventive measures and respond promptly to any possible situations.
Sincerely thank you!
