The first case involves allegations against Thaksin Shinawatra under Article 112 of the Penal Code of Thailand (military crimes) and the Computer Crime Act, which arose from an interview with a foreign media outlet he conducted in South Korea in 2015.
In June 2024, the Thai Chief Prosecutor General issued an order to prosecute Mr. Thaksin and the Criminal Court decided to hold a closed trial. Mr. Thaksin must also comply with foreign guarantee conditions, including not being allowed to leave Thailand without permission.
On July 16, 2025, the court conducted a questioning session in the presence of Mr. Thaksin. The court set a date for August 22, 2025 to pronounce a verdict on this case.
The second case involves Mr. Thaksin being treated for medical treatment while being detained on the 14th floor of the Royal Thai Police Hospital. The Supreme Court has scheduled four witness questioning sessions scheduled for July 18, 25 and 30. If these sessions end without any nghience, a verdict could be reached in August.
The focus of the case is whether Mr. Thaksin's health condition is truly critical or urgent to receive special treatment.
The third case involves a scandal over the recording of an exchange between Ms. Paetongtarn and President of the Cambodian Senate Hun Sen. The Thai Constitutional Court has accepted the Senators' petition and, with seven votes in favor over 9, ordered Ms. Paetongtarn to stop performing her duties as Thai Prime Minister while the case is under review.
Ms. Paetongtarn has suggested another 15 days to submit an explanation for the allegations of the 36 senators, pushing the deadline for submitting an explanation to July 31.
The Constitutional Court will then send Ms. Paetongtarn's explanation to senators for comment within 15 days. By August 16, the Senators will submit this response. The court will continue to send that defense to Ms. Paetongtarn for her to edit or supplement the defense file. All further amendments must be submitted immediately.
After this stage, the Constitutional Court of Thailand will review all documents, including petitions, explanations and criticisms. If all suspicions are cleared, the court will schedule a vote. The entire process is expected to last from 45 to 60 days and the verdict is likely to be announced at the end of August.
If she is found not guilty, Ms. Paetongtarn will have her full rights as Prime Minister of Thailand, which could reduce pressure from the opposition.
Conversely, if the ruling results in Ms. Paetongtarn being term- revived, Mr. Thaksin and the Pheu Thai party will likely have to decide whether to nominate Mr. Chaikasem Nitisiri, the Pheu Thai party's prime minister candidate, to the prime minister's chair or not. Or he and the Pheu Thai party will have to adjust their strategy, selecting another prime minister candidate from the ruling coalition to maintain their leadership role.
