The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) warned that typhoon Kalmaegi (local name: Tino) is showing a rapid intensification trend in the next 48 hours and may make landfall below strong typhoon level in the Eastern Samar or Dinagat Islands in the evening of November 3 or early morning of November 4.
According to the latest storm news issued at 11:00 on November 2, the center of the storm was at about 11.1 degrees north latitude; 134.5 degrees east longitude, 955km east of Visayas. Maximum winds near the center of the storm are 85 km/h, gusting to 105 km/h, moving west at a speed of 30 km/h.
In the next 24 hours, typhoon Kalmaegi is forecast to rapidly strengthen to strong typhoon level, with winds of about 150-155 km/h as it approaches the mainland.
PAGASA stressed that the likelihood of a super typhoon cannot be ruled out, based on climate data and current simulation scenarios.
It is forecast that in the next 3 days, Typhoon Kalmaegi will move mainly westward, making landfall in eastern Samar or Dinagat Islands on the evening of November 3 or early morning of November 4, then crossing the Visayas and northern Palawan before leaving the East Sea, becoming Typhoon No. 13 on November 5.
Storm No. 13 is forecast to approach the South Central Coast to the Central Coast of Vietnam around the evening of November 6 and the morning of November 7 with level 13, gusting to level 15-16.
PAGASA has issued a level 1 strong wind warning for eastern Samar, Dinagat, Siargao and Bucas Grande, which could be affected by light to moderate strong winds in the next 24 hours. The highest warning signal expected for this period may reach level 4, if the storm continues to strengthen as forecast.
PAGASA warned that storm surge could cause coastal flooding in many low-lying areas in Visayas, southern Luzon and Mindanao. The highest risk is concentrated in areas near or north of the expected path of the storm center.
The agency also said that a strong sea gusts warning may be issued on the evening of November 2 or the morning of November 3 for the sea east of Visayas and Caraga due to waves 3-4m high.
From noon on November 3 to noon on November 4, rainfall of 100-200 mm (heavy to very heavy rain) is forecast in eastern Samar, southern Leyte, Leyte, conc conc conc, Bohol, Dinagat, Surigao del Norte and Agusan del Norte.
When entering the East Sea and approaching the coast of Vietnam, the area affected by the storm is forecast to be very large because when approaching the coast, the storm tends to move west-northwest along coastal provinces from Khanh Hoa to Hue. The area affected by the storm circulation is very large from Ninh Thuan to Nghe An.
Currently, according to the Vietnam National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the tropical convergence zone with an axis at about 11-14 degrees north latitude connecting with the low pressure area is located at 7:00 a.m. on November 2 at about 12.5-13.50 degrees north latitude; 111.5-112.50 degrees east longitude.
The sea area from southern Quang Tri to Quang Ngai, the Gulf of Thailand, the sea area south of the northern East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone), the central East Sea area has scattered showers and thunderstorms. In the Gulf of Tonkin, there are strong northeast winds of level 5, sometimes level 6, gusting to level 7.
In the next 6 hours, there is a risk of flash floods, landslides, and land subsidence on steep slopes and small streams in Ha Tinh, Quang Tri provinces, Hue city, Da Nang city, Quang Ngai, Gia Lai
