The latest storm and low pressure information from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that at 3:00 p.m. on May 5, the low pressure in the East Sea was 555 km northwest of Coron, Palawan, Philippines. This low pressure is within the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR).
According to PAGASA's latest storm forecast on May 5, forecast models show that the low pressure in the East Sea will remain stable, with little chance of strengthening into a storm during the week of May 5 to May 11.
This low pressure in the East Sea is expected to last until the week of May 12 to May 18. Forecasts show that this low pressure is unlikely to strengthen into a storm but will continue to operate in the East Sea.
During the forecast period, the low pressure in the East Sea is expected to move north of the East Sea, towards southern Taiwan (China).
According to PAGASA's forecast, also during the week from May 5 to May 11, in addition to the low pressure in the East Sea, a new low pressure is forecast to appear near the East Sea.
This second low pressure is expected to form near Eastern Visayas, with the possibility of the low strengthening into a storm during the forecast period. However, this low pressure near the East Sea is unlikely to survive until the week from May 12 to May 18 like the low pressure in the East Sea.
An average of 20 typhoons occur in the Philippines each year, with 8-9 of them likely to make landfall. January to May every year is often considered a quiet period for tropical depression and storm activity in the northwest Pacific basin, an area that includes the Philippines.
According to PAGASA's forecast, there may be 1 to 2 tropical storms forming or entering the Philippine forecast area in May and June. From July, August and September 2025, there will be 2 to 3 tropical storms per month.
As the hurricane season approaches, forecasters are closely monitoring temperature changes in the Pacific Ocean to find signs for the upcoming hurricane season.
In a recent hurricane bulletin, the Washington Post said that temperatures in both the Pacific and Atlantic are dropping rapidly ahead of the 2025 hurricane season.
Storms thrive in warm ocean waters, and cooler ocean temperatures could mean a less intense hurricane season.
The latest hurricane report from USA Today said that meteorologists are closely monitoring ocean temperatures in the Atlantic and have found that the current weather is not as hot as in recent years.
Weather.com meteorologist Jonathan Belles pointed out: "A large area in the eastern Atlantic cannot maintain the typical warm temperature of this time of year. That makes experts question whether there will be any impact this year's hurricane season."
Similarly, Florida State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach noted: "The tropical surface temperatures are fortunately much cooler than at this time last year." Significant drop in temperatures is good news for the possibility of Atlantic hurricane formation this season.
In addition to ocean temperatures, many other factors also affect storm formation, such as dry air or dust in the atmosphere, the emergence of El Nino or La Nina... All of these can change the direction of the annual storm season.
