On November 22, new assessments from the Ukrainian intelligence within showed a darker picture of the battlefield and politics than public statements. Time is no longer an advantage for Kiev and prolonging the conflict is unlikely to bring better negotiation results.
According to this source, Ukraine is maintaining a defense in a state of tension. "We still resisted, but it was just enough. In two months, no one is sure what will happen, and the negotiation options could be even worse." This is a rare direct assessment that shows concerns about the ability to maintain the game in the medium term.
The context of this warning is the "crisis" that Ukraine is facing at the same time. First is the rapid attack by Russia. The Russian military is accelerating its advance on the battlefield, especially on the eastern front, putting great pressure on Ukraine's already fragile defences.
Second is the serious shortage of human resources. The magazine stressed that the Ukrainian army is facing an alarming shortage of infantry. Forward units are tired of not being rotated, while efforts to recruit troops face many difficulties due to the fatigue of society.
Finally, there are internal political scandals. This is a new and dangerous factor that weakens the rear end. Recent corruption scandals are weakening public trust and causing instability for the leadership apparatus right in the middle of the war
Military pressure, a shortage of forces and political instability combine to create a multi-layered challenge, requiring Kiev to make important strategic decisions before the balance of power changes to a more unfavorable direction.
