Experts forecast storms and tropical depressions in the East Sea from August

NGUYỄN ĐẠT |

The 2024 storm season in Vietnam is predicted to be complex, volatile and slow down from North to South in the second half of the year.

According to the nationwide annual climate forecast bulletin from the National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting, 2024 may have many fluctuations in weather and climate in Vietnam.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said: "The El Nino phenomenon is likely to persist until the end of spring 2024 with a probability of over 90%, then tends to gradually shift to a neutral state. in the summer months with a probability of about 60-70%".

Update on El Nino and La Nina phenomena from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Photo: World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
Update on El Nino and La Nina phenomena from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Photo: World Meteorological Organization (WMO)

In the second half of 2024, sea surface temperatures in the central equatorial Pacific region (NINO3.4 area) tend to gradually decrease and are likely to shift to the La Nina phase in the last months of the year.

From July to December, the number of storms and tropical depressions is expected to be approximately the same as the average for many years.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting warns that from July to September, storms and tropical depressions will affect the Northern provinces, from September to December it will affect the Central provinces and regions. southern region.

Thus, the storm season in Vietnam gradually slows down from North to South. August to September 2024 is forecast to be the peak time for natural disasters in the North and North Central regions. It is possible that 1-2 storms will make direct landfall, accompanied by the risk of heavy rain causing flash floods and landslides.

The Central and South Central regions are considered the most vulnerable regions. Provinces from Quang Binh to Quang Ngai are at risk of facing strong storms from late September to October, accompanied by prolonged heavy rain and serious flooding. Provinces from Binh Dinh to Ninh Thuan need to be wary of storms from November to early December.

The Central Highlands region, especially Kon Tum, Gia Lai and Dak Lak provinces, need to be careful of heavy rain due to the effects of storms. The South may face heavy rains due to the southwest monsoon from now until early December.

Floods in the Central region in 2020 caused serious consequences. Photo: Phuc Dat
Floods in the Central region in 2020 caused serious consequences. Photo: Phuc Dat

2024 is expected to be a year of many changes in weather and climate in Vietnam. Residents and tourists need to closely monitor the latest forecasts and warnings to proactively respond to possible adverse weather situations.

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