Mbappe hunts for milestone 500, Atletico Madrid determined to defeat Real Madrid

In the standings, the home team Atletico Madrid has 13 points, 2 points behind Real Madrid. If they beat Real, Atletico will surpass their opponent. They are very confident in doing this after 2 wins without conceding against Real Sociedad and Osasuna.

But defeating Real Madrid will not be easy for Diego Simeone, as he has lost all three encounters with Mourinho in La Liga. Real themselves are also playing very well this season when they have scored 17 goals since the beginning of the season, conceding only 6 goals. Since the beginning of the season, Real has only lost 1 match against Real Betis.

Mourinho's team is also very dangerous at the end of the match. They are the team that has won the most points in LaLiga this season from goals scored from the 85th minute onwards (4 points), with the prominent role of striker Carlos Espi, who specializes in scoring at the end of the match.

Leading Real Madrid's attack is still Kylian Mbappe, who has scored 7 goals since the beginning of the season. The French striker will reach the milestone of 500 participations in goals at club level (currently 499 times - 377 goals, 122 assists) if he scores or assists in this derby.

Vinicius is also a notable star of Real Madrid, when he has participated in 4 goals in the last 4 matches against Atletico (2 goals, 2 assists).

Real Madrid has lost three of their last five away matches in LaLiga against Atletico (1 win, 1 draw). Previously, they only lost 1 of their 20 away matches against Rojiblancos in this tournament (12 wins, 7 draws).

Simeone's team has responded well after two consecutive defeats against Athletic Club and Liverpool, scoring seven goals without conceding a goal in two matches since then.

However, what is worrying for Atletico Madrid is that they are the only team in LaLiga to concede all of their goals (6 goals) in the second half.

But according to Opta, with their attacking power, this match could become very open if Atletico chooses to take risks. Jonathan David has scored 2 goals in the first 2 LaLiga matches for Atletico and a goal in the Madrid derby will be a great mark for his brilliant start.

Statistics show that Atletico lost their most recent match in La Liga to Real Madrid with a score of 2-3 in March 2026, ending a 6-match unbeaten streak (2 wins, 4 draws) against this opponent.

Under Simeone, Atletico only suffered two or more consecutive defeats against Real Madrid in this tournament in two instances, three defeats in 2013 and two defeats in 2020.

Real Madrid has won the last two matches against Atletico Madrid in all competitions. The Royal Spanish team has never had three or more consecutive victories against this opponent since 2013, when they had 10 consecutive victories (two matches under Manuel Pellegrini and eight matches under Mourinho).