In the first leg, Singapore controlled the ball more but could not take advantage to create a difference. Thailand only had 28% of possession time but launched 13 shots, of which 6 were on target and scored 3 goals.
This result gives the "War Elephants" a great advantage before the rematch at Rajamangala. The advantage of the Golden Temple team is playing at home in the second leg.
According to the prediction of supercomputer B.S, Thailand has a 78.2% chance of winning. Meanwhile, Singapore's chance of winning is only 7%, and the possibility of the two teams sharing points is 14.8%.
The model also predicts that Thailand has an expected goal index of 2.42, significantly higher than Singapore's level of 0.58.
If coach Anthony Hudson's team wins, the 2-0 score is considered most likely to appear with 14.6%. The next options are 1-0 (12.1%), 3-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (8.5%).
In the opposite direction, 1-0 is the score predicted to most likely appear if Singapore wins, but the probability is only 2.9%. In the case of a draw, 1-1 is most likely at 7%.
However, with the current situation, if Singapore wins 1-0 or draws 1-1, they are not qualified to win a ticket to the final. They need a victory with a difference of at least 2 goals to equalize the total score, drag the opponent into extra time, or must win by a difference of 3 goals or more to reverse the situation against Thailand.
The Singapore team will have to choose a different approach if they want to create a surprise. Coach Gavin Lee's team needs to improve their defense and better utilize attacking situations.
Meanwhile, Thailand can play more pragmatically thanks to the two-goal advantage.
