Football prediction Arsenal vs Man City in the Premier League

An An |

Football commentary on the Arsenal - Man City match in round 5 of the Premier League 2025-2026.

Overview

Arsenal have won their last three Premier League home games with a combined score of 9-0. Two of those have come this season. After a devastating 5-0 victory over Leeds United, the "Gunners" continued to defeat Nottingham Forest with a score of 3-0 last week.

The Gunners have won three of their four Premier League games this season, keeping a clean sheet in each win. After a 2-0 win over Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League, Mikel Arteta's side's only game conceding in all competitions in 2025-2026 was a 1-0 defeat to Liverpool at Anfield.

Even then, it was thanks to Dominik Szoboszlai's beautiful free kick that David Raya could be defeated.

Therefore, the "Gunners" are having an extremely impressive defensive record. In fact, only Newcastle (2.1) have conceded fewer goals than Arsenal (2.4) this season.

Arsenal are aiming for their fourth consecutive home win in the Premier League without conceding a goal - a record they have not had since December 2021. The last time the "Gunners" won 3 consecutive home matches and kept a clean sheet was in the 1960-1961 season. This challenge will be called Manchester City, when Pep Guardiola and his stars travel to the Emirates.

After a resounding start with a 4-0 win over Wolves, Man City surprisingly lost consecutively to Tottenham and Brighton. This was the first time they have lost two of their opening three Premier League games since 2004-05, and also their worst start under Guardiola.

However, The Citizens quickly bounced back with a convincing 3-0 win in the Manchester derby, where Erling Haaland shined with a brace in the second half. Man City continued to maintain their form in the Champions League when defeating Napoli 2-0.

The worrying thing for Guardiola is Man City's poor performance after European matches. They have lost five of their last seven Premier League games in just one of their two Champions League games in midweek (W2). Notably, including a 1-5 defeat to Arsenal in February.

Arsenal will face the strongest attack in the league at the moment. Man City leads the Premier League in expected goals (8.5 xG) and has scored 8 goals, while Arsenal is in fifth place with 6.5 xG.

The biggest explosive of the away team was of course Haaland. He is the tournament's number one scorer with 5 goals, and is also the player with the most shots9) and the most shots on target (8).

Head-to-head record

Man City have not won in their last 4 Premier League matches against Arsenal. Guardiola is at risk of going through a run of five consecutive winless games against the same opponent - something that has never happened in his coaching career.

In contrast, Mikel Arteta has the opportunity to become the first manager to go 5 consecutive Premier League games unbeaten against Guardiola.

Man City have lost both of their most recent visits to Arsenal in the Premier League - equal to the number of defeats in the previous 14 visits (won 7, drew 5, lost 2). This is also their longest losing streak against the "Gunners" since April 2009 (4 consecutive matches).

Arsenal have won two of their last four meetings with Man City in the competition (D2), a tally of 22 previous meetings (D5 L15).

If they win all 3 points in this match, the "Gunners" will have their first consecutive victories against The Citizens in the Premier League since December 2015.

Score prediction: Arsenal 2-1 Man City

The match between Arsenal and Man City takes place at 22:30 on September 21 (Vietnam time).

An An
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