The latest storm information from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) said that Typhoon Senyar is currently located more than 1,100 km southwest of Ho Chi Minh City, moving east-southwest at a speed of 7 km/h.
Storm Senyar has an unpredictable path
Senyar is forecast to turn east as it is affected by the low- to medium-level westerly wind circulation, returning the system to the Malacca Strait.
The JTWC said that Senyar is likely to make landfall on the west coast of Malaysia in the next 2 days, but the confidence is low as the storm could dissipate early upon contact with the Sumatra area.
When it returns to more favorable waters, the storm is likely to intensify before weakening rapidly when it makes landfall in Malaysia.
The forecast track of the forecast models is currently inconsistent. International weather forecast models tend to predict that the storm will return to the Malacca Strait and re-strengthen to about 75 km/h in 36 hours, then gradually dissipate when it reaches shore.
Unusual points of storm Senya
Typhoon Senyar unexpectedly formed on the night of November 25-26 and made landfall in Indonesia on the morning of November 26 with sustained winds of 70-80 km/h, gusting to 90 km/h.
This is an extremely rare phenomenon, because the tropical cyclone in the North Indian Ocean hardly forms in the Malacca Strait or makes landfall in Indonesia.
Senyar became the first typhoon to hit Indonesia in November and the second strongest tropical cyclone in history to form near the equator, after Typhoon Vamei in 2001.
Unlike Vamei, Senyar forms directly in the Malacca Strait, an area previously considered stormless. This phenomenon surprised meteorologists.
Since 1842, more than 180 years have not seen any strong tropical cyclones recorded at the Senyar site.
Due to contact with the Sumatra mountainous terrain and strong wind shear, the storm is expected to last for a very short time. However, this is still a historic meteorological phenomenon.
The name Senyar was proposed by the United Arab Emirates, meaning lion.
The impact of storm Senyar
Typhoon Senyar caused heavy rain, rough seas from Sri Lanka to Indonesia... The affected area is spread across South India, Sri Lanka, the Gulf of Bengal, the Andaman & Nicobar Islands, the Strait of Malacca, the coast of Sumatra and the sea near Malaysia.
Heavy rain is forecast to last from now until December 1 in many areas.
Although a rare phenomenon, Senyar also shows a worrying trend: climate change is making areas that are considered "safe" from storms no exception.
In the context of increasing extreme climate, tourists are advised to closely monitor weather reports in Southeast Asia. Check weather conditions carefully before booking a schedule, especially outdoor activities such as trekking, diving, tropical forest sightseeing or island travel.
Avoid going to sea or traveling by boat during the period when the meteorological agency warns of rough seas. Follow announcements from airports and airlines, because unusual weather can cause sudden delays and cancellations.