In the session yesterday 14.4, VN-Index had a third consecutive recovery session with the overwhelming green color on industry groups (17/21 industry gaining groups). The noteworthy point is that the low price of the bottom price has been completely about the account but the resale pressure is not large, instead the demand is still relatively strong to help the VN-Index continue to maintain the green. The minus point is that the liquidity dropped sharply compared to the previous session with the matching weight of the session on April 14, equivalent to an average of 20 sessions.
Although the inertia rise from key stocks is still keeping the market's rhythm, the division activity begins to become more clear in the remaining stocks when the selling pressure has increased signals. The increase amplitude of the score is also shrinking, showing that the excitement has cooled down from the buyer and the supply/demand state has become more balanced. With that signal, analysts say that it is likely that the index will soon have significant vibration pressure and have the risk of reversing when challenging the upper resistance areas.
Opening the session on the morning of April 15, after the continuous gainer of 3 sessions, it seems that the cash flow is starting to take profit to create a selling pressure on the general market. The stock market opened the session with a large selling pressure. VN-Index fell nearly 13 points in the first session, HNX-Index decreased by 2 points. The red color dominates the market.
However, some large -cap stocks are still maintaining the green color quickly, helping the market regain balance. As of 9h45p, the VN-Index only decreased by 1 point back to the threshold of 1,240 points. Vingroup shares are campaigning in the opposite direction of the market, VIC, VHM, and VRE are gaining points. In particular, VIC increased by nearly 4%.
The newly published strategic report of An Binh Securities Company (ABS) issued two scenarios for VN-Index in April 2025.
Scenario 1, that is the recovery market. This is considered a scenario with high probability. The market maintained the support of 1,070 and 1,030 points, the mortgage and semi -strong sessions took place in the 2nd week of April. The ABS analysis group found that there was a new cash flow to buy silently. This is the driving force for the recovery scenario in the next sessions, to the proposed resistance area.
With the positive scenario, ABS judged that this was a liquidity scanning to shake off the short -term investor surfing, but for long -term investment strategies that can be purchased gradually for the next 2 -year plan. After the recent fall, the market may recover fast and strong. However, investors should note that this is the opposite of the main trend that is decreasing, it is necessary to select a reasonable stock and a reasonable density, comply with trading discipline.
Scenario 2, that is VN-Index continues to decrease. The information continued in a complex context, without a significant change in the market losing a psychological fulcrum, causing a continuation pressure on deeper support areas. Pressure for investors who are holding goods will be much larger when the amount of money and goods is no longer balanced. In the opposite direction this is a great opportunity, returning to the market for investors with ready for at least one phase to recover a large amplitude of 200 points.
