The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting has forecast the weather trend for the seasonal season (from February to July 2026).
Regarding the temperature trend, from February to July, the average temperature nationwide is generally approximately equal to the multi-year average. Especially in the Northern region, Thanh Hoa to Hue in February to March and the Northern Delta region in April, the average temperature is 0.5 - 1 degree Celsius higher than the multi-year average of the same period.
According to Mr. Nguyen Duc Hoa - Deputy Head of the Climate Forecasting Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, in the next 3 months, cold air is likely to be weaker than the multi-year average.
However, cold air will still cause concentrated severe cold spells in February 2026. It is necessary to be wary of the possibility of severe cold spells with the lowest temperature dropping sharply, especially in the northern mountainous areas and possibly accompanied by frost" - Mr. Hoa said.
The Deputy Head of the Climate Forecasting Department said that along with the activity of the northeast monsoon, the phenomenon of light rain and drizzle in provinces/cities in the North is concentrated in the second half of February and March. The appearance time is equivalent to the multi-year average.
From May, cold air activity will decrease in frequency and intensity. However, the northeast monsoon may combine with other weather patterns to cause rain in the northern region of our country (concentrated in May and June).
Regarding hot weather, the Southern region is likely to experience hot weather from about the end of February - early March in the Southeast region; then there is a tendency to increase intensity and gradually expand to the Mekong Delta region.
In the Northwest region, localized hot weather may appear from March. The Northwest region and the area from Thanh Hoa to Hue are likely to experience hot weather from around April, then gradually expanding to the entire North and Central regions from the end of April.
Dangerous weather phenomena: thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, hail tend to increase in the transitional months (about March to May) nationwide. Especially high risk occurs in the Northern region, Central Highlands and Southern regions" - Mr. Hoa said about the rain trend.
The meteorological agency especially emphasized that in the context of climate change, weather, and climate are increasingly complicated with many dangerous and extreme forms such as heavy rain in a short time, flash floods, landslides...
Therefore, it is proposed to regularly update and integrate forecast information and hydrometeorological warnings in 1-3 day short-term bulletins, to promptly adjust production plans, appropriate response plans, especially appropriate reservoir operation plans, ensuring the safety of works and downstream areas, and at the same time ensuring safety for production and people's livelihoods.
