Today, June 30, the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology (Ministry of Agriculture and Environment) sent an official dispatch to the Standing Office of the National Steering Committee for Civil Defense; Ministry of National Defense, Ministry of Public Security, Ministry of Industry and Trade, Ministry of Construction and People's Committees of provinces and cities on the possibility of natural disasters in the coming days.
Accordingly, through monitoring and analyzing the current status of the weather system and forecast products, it shows that in the next 10 days (June 30, 2026 - July 9, 2026), on land as well as in the East Sea, there is a possibility of being affected by some forms of natural disasters.
Possibility of tropical depression, risk of strengthening into a storm
Forecast around June 30, 2026 - July 1, 2026, a tropical convergence zone will form in the central area of the East Sea, connecting to a low pressure area in the central Philippines. At 7 am on June 30, the low pressure area was located at about 13 degrees North latitude, 123 degrees East longitude.
Forecast for July 1, this low pressure area moves into the East Sea and is likely to strengthen into a tropical depression with a probability of about 80 - 85%, then is likely to strengthen into a storm with a probability of about 60 - 65%.
From July 1st, the sea area east of the North and Central regions of the East Sea will have strong winds of level 5, sometimes level 6, after which the wind intensity will gradually increase according to the diễn biến of the low pressure area.
From July 2nd, the sea area from Khanh Hoa to Ca Mau, the South East Sea area (including the western Truong Sa special zone) will gradually strengthen southwest winds to level 6, gusts of level 7 - 8, waves from 2 - 3 m high, rough seas.
The sea area from Khanh Hoa to Ca Mau, Ca Mau to An Giang, the Gulf of Thailand, the eastern sea area of the central East Sea and the South East Sea area (including Truong Sa special zone) have showers and strong thunderstorms. In thunderstorms, beware of wave height sometimes increasing to over 3m. The area of strong thunderstorms is likely to expand to the northern sea areas.
The North is the main affected area
Due to the influence of the intertropical convergence zone, connected to the low pressure area, it is forecast to strengthen into a tropical depression in the East Sea area; from about July 4 - July 7, the Northern region is likely to experience a widespread wave of moderate to heavy rain accompanied by a high risk of tornadoes, lightning, flash floods, landslides and localized flooding.
In addition to forecast bulletins and natural disaster warnings issued periodically according to regulations, to monitor forecast information and warnings of thunderstorms, tornadoes, lightning, flash floods, and landslides in real time.
The Department of Meteorology and Hydrology will continuously update disaster forecast information so that the Ministry and localities can proactively direct and deploy timely and effective response work to ensure the safety of people's lives.
