Updated from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 13:00 on January 16, the center of Typhoon Nokaen was located at about 11 degrees north latitude - 128.4 degrees east longitude with intensity level 8, gusting level 10.
Forecast for the next 24 hours, Typhoon Nokaen will move in a northwest direction at a speed of about 15-20km/h; then the typhoon will move slowly, mainly in a northward direction along the eastern sea area of the Philippines. Because the East Sea area is currently dominated by cold air masses, the typhoon is almost unlikely to move into Vietnam's East Sea. It is highly likely to dissipate in the eastern sea area of the Philippines around January 20-21, 2026.
According to the meteorological agency, compared to the average of many years, storms in the Northwest Pacific appearing in January are early, but not uncommon. In the period from 1950 to now, there have been more than 30 storms appearing in January.
Regarding the notable sea weather developments in the coming week, from near morning and January 21, the North East Sea area (including Hoang Sa special zone) has strong northeast winds at level 6, sometimes level 7, gusts at level 8 - 9, strong sea waves.
From the night of January 22 - 23, 2026, the Gulf of Tonkin will have northeast winds gradually strengthening to level 6, gusting to level 7 - 8, rough seas.
From January 23 - 25, the sea area from Quang Tri to Ca Mau, the central East Sea area, the western sea area of the South East Sea (including the western sea area of the Truong Sa special zone) will have northeast wind gradually strengthening to level 6, sometimes level 7, gusts of level 8 - 9, strong sea waves.
The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting forecasts that there is little chance of storms or tropical depressions appearing in the East Sea area from January to March 2026.
The most notable phenomenon in the early months of the year is the activity of the northeast monsoon. Strong winds due to the influence of cold air can cause big waves at sea and affect the activities of ships and boats.
