According to the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, at 1:00 p.m. on November 4, the center of storm Kalmaegi was at about 10.7 degrees north latitude; 122 degrees east longitude, in the central Philippines. The strongest wind near the storm center is level 13 (134-149 km/h), gusting to level 16. The storm is moving westward at a speed of about 25 km/h.
It is forecasted that in the next 24 hours, the storm will move mainly in the west-northwest direction, at a speed of 20 - 25 km/h and will enter the East Sea to become storm No. 13. At 1:00 p.m. on November 5, the center of the storm was at about 11.8 degrees north latitude; 117.2 degrees east longitude, in the sea east of the central East Sea. The strongest wind near the storm center is level 13, gusting to level 16.
The dangerous area in the next 24 hours will be from latitude 10 to 13 degrees north and east of longitude 115.5 degrees east. The natural disaster risk level is level 3 for the sea area east of the central East Sea.
It is forecasted that in the next 48 hours, the storm will move west-northwest at a speed of about 25 km/h. At 1:00 p.m. on November 6, the center of the storm was at about 13.1 degrees north latitude; 111.9 degrees east longitude, in the central East Sea, about 320 km east-southeast of the Gia Lai province coast. The storm is likely to strengthen, the strongest wind near the storm center is level 14, gusting to level 17.
The dangerous area in the next 48 hours will be from latitude 10 to 15 degrees north and between longitude 108.5 - 119.5 degrees east. Level 4 natural disaster risk for the central East Sea area (including the northern sea area of Truong Sa special zone), the sea area from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa (including Ly Son special zone).
According to the meteorological agency, from around the night of November 6, the storm is likely to directly affect the area from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa. The strongest wind in coastal waters (including Ly Son Special Zone) is likely to reach level 12 - 13, gusting above level 15. The coastal mainland is likely to reach level 10 - 12, gusting to level 14 - 15.
This is a strong storm, with the possibility of thunderstorms and tornadoes before the storm makes landfall. Heavy rain will be widespread from the night of November 6 to November 9 in the area from Quang Tri to Dak Lak. Risk of a new flood on rivers from Quang Tri province to Khanh Hoa province.
It is forecasted that in the next 72 hours, the storm will move west-northwest at a speed of about 25 km/h. At 1:00 p.m. on November 7, the center of the storm was in the Southern Laos area and gradually weakened into a tropical depression. The strongest wind near the center of the tropical depression is level 7, gusting to level 8.
The dangerous area in the next 72 hours will be from latitude 10.5 to 16.5 degrees north latitude and west of longitude 114.5 degrees east longitude. Level 4 natural disaster risk for the western sea area between the East Sea, the sea area from Da Nang to Khanh Hoa (including Ly Son special zone) and the coastal mainland from Quang Ngai to Dak Lak.
In the next 72 to 96 hours, the tropical depression will move mainly in the west-northwest direction, traveling 20 - 25 km per hour and gradually weakening into a low pressure area.
Regarding the impact of the storm, at sea, the sea area east of the central East Sea will have winds gradually increasing to level 6 - 7, then increasing to level 8 - 10; the area near the storm center will be strong at level 11 - 13, gusting to level 15 - 16, waves 5-7 m high, the sea will be very rough. From November 5 to 6, the central East Sea area (including the sea area north of Truong Sa special zone), the sea area off the coast of Da Nang - Khanh Hoa area is likely to be affected by strong winds of level 12 - 14, gusts above level 17, waves 8 - 10 m high, and rough seas.
All ships and works operating in the above dangerous area are likely to be affected by strong thunderstorms, whirlwinds, strong winds and large waves.
