Forecasting Donald Trump's second term

Thanh Hà |

Donald Trump won the US presidential election on November 5, on his way to becoming the 47th president, marking the historic return of a former US president after the turmoil of the past four years.

Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic Party's rival, called Donald Trump on the afternoon of November 6 to concede defeat and congratulate him. On the same day, incumbent President Joe Biden called Donald Trump to congratulate him and invited him to the White House, officially starting the transition process before Inauguration Day, the White House said. President Biden also called Vice President Harris. Foreign leaders congratulated Donald Trump, including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and French President Emmanuel Macron...

The result caps a tumultuous and competitive election season in American history, which included two failed assassination attempts on Mr. Trump during his presidential campaign and a switch in the Democratic Party's nominee just a month before the party's convention.

AP commented that Mr. Donald Trump will face many challenges when he takes office on January 20, 2025, including increasing political polarization and global crises that are testing America's influence abroad.

Trump's victory over Harris - the first woman of color to be nominated by a major party - marked the second time he has defeated a female opponent in a US presidential election. Trump is the first former president to return to power since Grover Cleveland won the White House in 1892. Trump is also the first person to be elected president with a felony conviction and, at 78, the oldest person to hold the office.

Meanwhile, his Vice President, Ohio Senator JD Vance, 40, will become the highest-ranking member of the millennial generation (the generation born between roughly 1981 and 1996) in the US government.

Throughout the campaign, Mr. Trump has tapped into voters’ emotions, tapping into frustration over high prices, fears about crime and illegal immigration.

US media said that when returning to the White House, Mr. Trump plans to quickly enact a comprehensive agenda that will transform nearly every aspect of the US government.

That includes plans to launch the largest deportation effort in the nation’s history, dramatically expand the use of tariffs and once again pursue a zero-sum approach to foreign policy that threatens to upend longstanding foreign alliances, including NATO.

During his campaign, Mr. Trump also pledged to end the conflict in Ukraine, halve energy prices within a year and bring peace to the Middle East.

Unlike when Donald Trump came to Washington D.C. in 2017, in this return, those who disagreed with him in his Republican Party in Congress were largely defeated or retired.

The federal courts now have judges appointed by him from his previous term, and the US Supreme Court has three justices appointed by Mr. Trump. As Mr. Trump prepares to retake the role of commander in chief of the world’s most powerful military and largest economy, Republicans hold a majority in the Senate, ready to approve his executive and judicial proposals and support his legislative agenda.

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