According to the Hill, the results of the US election poll by the Department of Political Communication, Florida Atlantic University (FAU), Public Opinion Research Department and Mainstreet Research USA announced on August 27 showed that Ms. Harris was ahead. Mr. Trump 4 percentage points, with a ratio of 47% compared to 43%.
The poll shows that, among likely voters, Ms. Harris - who replaced President Joe Biden in the 2024 US presidential election - leads with 49% compared to Mr. Trump's 45%.
The national survey, conducted just days after the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, had 53% of women and 45% of men supporting the Democratic nominee. According to the poll, former Republican President Donald Trump received 47% support from men and 41% support from women.
Vice President Kamala Harris leads more broadly with Hispanic voters (51%), black voters (73%), and white voters with a college degree (57%).
The survey found that former President Donald Trump maintained significant support among white voters without a college degree, with 59% of voters supporting him.
Luzmarina Garcia, Associate Professor of Political Science at FAU, said: “Since the moment she took the lead in election polls, Vice President Harris has effectively and efficiently attracted women voters. Gender is becoming more and more clear. Ms. Harris has also re-established the Democratic Party's advantage with minority voters.”
Ms. Harris holds a double-digit lead among independent voters in the poll, winning 48% support compared to Mr. Trump's 35%.
The same previous poll showed a significantly smaller gap between the two presidential candidates: Ms. Harris won 45% compared to Mr. Trump's 43% of independent voters.
Dukhong Kim, Associate Professor of Political Science at FAU, said: “Mr. Trump is losing support from independent voters compared to July, which may be a result of the Democratic Party convention and still remains to be followed. If this situation continues, it will be difficult for Mr. Trump to maintain his advantage in the election."
The poll was conducted August 23-25 among 929 registered American voters. The margin of error is 3.2%.
