Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market in today's trading session recorded positive changes when prices simultaneously increased slightly in key growing areas. According to records, the average coffee price in the whole region reached the threshold of 86,500 VND/kg, an increase of 100 VND/kg compared to the previous trading session.
Specifically, in Dak Lak province, coffee prices are being purchased at 86,500 VND/kg. In Dak Nong province (old), the price reached the highest level in the region at 86,600 VND/kg, both increasing by 100 VND/kg. In Gia Lai, coffee prices also recorded 86,500 VND/kg. Meanwhile, in Lam Dong province, coffee prices remained stable at 86,000 VND/kg, without any new fluctuations compared to yesterday.
World coffee prices
At the close of the most recent trading session, world coffee prices recovered from the lowest level in 1.5 weeks. At the London exchange, Robusta coffee for July 2026 delivery increased by 3 USD, reaching 3,364 USD/ton. On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee for July 2026 delivery also increased by 0.85 cents, closing at 286.40 cents/lb.
The main driving force for the price recovery is the drop of the DXY index to its lowest level in 2 weeks, triggering speculators' buy-backing activities. However, the upward momentum is still restrained by information about abundant supply prospects from Brazil. Coffee Trading Academy forecasts that the country's 2026/27 crop output may reach 71.4 million bags, an increase of 12% over the same period. In particular, StoneX also gave a record figure of 75.3 million bags, forecasting that the global coffee surplus in 2026 will expand to 10 million bags.
In addition, Vietnam's coffee exports in the first quarter of 2026 increased by 14% compared to the same period, reaching 585,000 tons, contributing to downward pressure on the London exchange in the long term. However, the actual inventory level on the ICE exchange is still at a record low (Robusta is the lowest in 16 months, Arabica is the lowest in 2 months) and geopolitical tensions affecting the transport route through the Strait of Hormuz are key factors supporting keeping prices from falling deeply.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The coffee market is facing a fierce tug-of-war between forecasts of a record crop year in Brazil and short-term local supply cuts. Macroeconomic factors such as exchange rates and increased logistics costs due to geopolitical conflicts are playing a "supporting role" for prices. However, with large organizations continuously raising production forecasts, mid-term adjustment pressure is inevitable.
