Overview
Coach Daniel Farke will certainly feel relieved when Leeds United won 3-1 against Chelsea at Elland Road in midweek.
This victory helped Leeds escape the Premier League relegation zone and end a streak of 4 consecutive losses, reducing the pressure weighing on Farke's shoulders. Leeds have also shown their determination to avoid relegation in their narrow 2-3 defeat to Manchester City. And that spirit was even more evident in the match against Chelsea.
Leeds created 2.79 expected goals (xG) in the win, the second highest tally by a team against Chelsea in the Premier League since Enzo Maresca took charge, behind Tottenham's 2.9 xG in December 2024. However, it should be noted that Dominic Calvert-Lewin's goal to increase the score to 3-1 only accounted for 0.99 xG, achieved with a touch from outside the penalty area.
The upcoming schedule is not easy for Leeds United, as coach Arne Slot's Liverpool will visit Elland Road this weekend.
Although The Kop have not had their best form this season, currently in eighth place in the Premier League table after a 1-1 draw with Sunderland, they are determined to regain the form that helped them win the championship last season.
Leeds often have difficulty facing defending champions. They have won just one of their last 16 Premier League games against champions (D4 L11). The only win was a 3-2 win over Arsenal in May 2003. At home, they are winless in eight games (D2 L6), since a 1-0 win over the Gunners in May 1999.
However, this could be the ideal time for Leeds to break that statistical streak, as Liverpool struggled away from home. The Kop have lost 7 of their last 11 away matches in the Premier League (W4), behind only Fulham and Wolves in away losses since the beginning of April.
In the period from January 2023 to February 2025, Liverpool's last 7 away losses have occurred in 45 matches, showing instability.
Liverpool beat West Ham 2-0 in their most recent away match, but struggled to get a 1-1 draw against Sunderland at Anfield, showing an underperformance. A positive signal for Leeds as they last won consecutively in the top flight in October and November 2022, including a win over Liverpool.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin could be Leeds' mainstay in this match. After scoring against Man City and Chelsea, the former Everton player is aiming to score in 3 consecutive Premier League matches, for the first time since August 2021.
Head-to-head record
Leeds have won just one of their last 12 Premier League games against Liverpool (D3 L9), with the only win coming in a 2-1 win at Anfield in October 2022.
However, Liverpool still dominated their recent away trips to Leeds. They are unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League games against their opponents (W4 D2) and won 6-1 in their most recent away trip to Elland Road in April 2023.
Liverpool's last two wins over Leeds in the Premier League have been 6-0 and 61, respectively. Before that, only Arsenal had scored 6 or more goals against the same opponent in 3 different matches in the Premier League (against Blackburn Rovers).
Score prediction: Leeds 1-2 Liverpool
The match between Leeds United and Liverpool takes place at 0:30 am on December 7 (Vietnam time).
