Overview
Both Inter Miami and Porto started the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup with a goalless draw. Therefore, they will try to get their first win when meeting at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta (USA).
Inter Miami will probably feel lucky to have won 1 point on the opening day. The excellence of goalkeeper Oscar Ustari helped them avoid conceding. He made eight saves in Inter Miami's opening game, the most in a single game since joining the club last year.
Porto also showed a weakness in defense in the match against Palmeiras. They let the Brazilian team touch the ball a total of 39 times in the penalty area. This is their most in a match in all competitions since October 2024 (42 touches against Manchester United in the Europa League).
The Portuguese club kept a clean sheet despite conceding an expected goals conceded of 2.1 xG. This is the most expected goals conceded by a team in a FIFA Club World Cup match (including the previous format) without conceding since 2017.
Inter Miami hopes captain Lionel Messi can contribute more than he did during the 90 minutes with Al Ahly. The Argentine has been in excellent form in MLS this season, scoring 10 goals and providing 5 assists in 15 appearances. However, he could not score despite having a total of 5 shots against the opponent from Egypt.
Samu Aghehowa is a player that Miami will have to keep a close eye on. Viktor Gyokeres (39 goals for Sporting) is the only player to score more goals than Aghehowa in the Primeira Liga in the 2024-2025 season (19).
Aghehowa will be supported by the god Rodrigo Mora, who has impressed with 10 goals and 4 assists after only 1,378 minutes of play in the 2024-2025 season. Mora just turned 18 last month.
Predicting the result
Porto are favourites in this match with a 49.9% chance of winning, compared to Inter Miami's 25.6%. After both teams shared points in the opening match of the tournament, another draw will certainly be disappointing. The probability of that happening is assessed at 24.5%.
After the first round, Porto (60.3%) was considered the strongest candidate in Group A to advance to the round of 16, ranking above Palmeiras (52.9%). Al Ahly has only 42.6%, slightly better than Inter Miami (44.1%).
Score prediction: Inter Miami 1 - 2 Porto
The match between Inter Miami and Porto takes place at 2:00 am on June 20 (Vietnam time).
