Opta's supercomputer recently simulated Premier League matches 10,000 times and gave the championship odds of 20 teams. At the top is still defending champion Manchester City (82.2%). This result is not surprising when Pep Guardiola and his team have won the throne in the last 4 seasons - a record that no English team has ever achieved.
This number is lower than their chances of winning the Premier League at the beginning of the 2023-2024 season. At that time, this number was 90.2%.
Second is Arsenal with 12.2%. Last season, Opta rated the Gunners only a 4.1% chance, but now that has increased significantly.
Current predictions show that Arsenal has a 61% chance of finishing in the top 2. The chance of entering the top 4 and qualifying for the UEFA Champions League is up to 95.7%. As for Man City, their rate of ranking in the top 4 is 99.9% - almost absolute.
Liverpool became the third brightest candidate for the Premier League championship with 5.1%, higher than at the same time last season (3.5%). In fact, The Kop topped the Premier League rankings last season for 87 days, more than champions Man City (78) and Arsenal (76), but unfortunately could not maintain it until the final round.
These predictions are based on data collected by the Opta supercomputer as of August 12. These numbers will change throughout the season based on actual data.
Among the Opta supercomputer's predictions about the Premier League 2024-2025, there are only 5 clubs capable of winning the championship, namely Man City, Arsenal, Chelsea, Newcastle, Man United, Tottenham and Aston Villa.
Chelsea has a new coach in Enzo Maresca this season. They have been outside the top 4 in the past two seasons but Opta predicts the Blues have a 31.6% chance of winning tickets to the Champions League next season.
Newcastle has a 26.6% chance of returning to Europe's No. 1 arena, after a season of struggling to balance a busy schedule and many long-term injuries.
Both Tottenham and Man United fell out of the top 4 last season. This season, Spurs are predicted to have a 17.5% chance of entering the top 4, only slightly lower than Man United's 18.9%. The other 3 teams that are considered to have a chance to win tickets to the Champions League are Aston Villa (7.3%), Crystal Palace (5.4%) and West Ham (2.2%).
