OpenAI CEO Sam altman recently made a bold prediction that General Intelligence (AGI) could appear by 2030 and take on up to 40% of the tasks humans are performing.
In an interview with Die Welt (Germany) published on September 26, altman said that he often avoids predicting the future of AI, but the current pace of progress makes him believe that super intelligence can appear before the end of this decade.
If by 2030, we dont have extraordinary models that can do things beyond human capabilities, I would be surprised, altman stressed.
According to him, instead of thinking about job loss, it is necessary to consider the aspect of tasks that will be replaced.
I can easily imagine a world where 30-40% of the tasks in the current economy will be taken over by AI in the near future, altman said.
This assessment has sparked much debate about fundamental changes in the global labor model.
When asked whether AGI can dominate humans as many experts are concerned, altman responded to the pessimistic view. Responding to the opinion of researcher Eliezer Yudkowsky, who compared the relationship between super intelligence and humans as humans toents, altman said AGI would act like a loving parent.
This view is also reminiscent of previous statements by the two AI fathers Geoffrey Hinton and Yann LeCun, who emphasized the importance of truyenting maternity instinct to AI systems so that they can care for and protect humans.
However, altman admitted that AGI also has unpredictable consequences. Therefore, he believes that the technology community needs to seriously set up a governance mechanism, ensuring the development of super intelligence in line with humanistic values.
Although controversial, the statements of the CEO of OpenAI show a strong belief that AGI not only changes the socio-economic structure, but also poses a huge ethical challenge in the way people live with this superior intelligence.
