According to the new low pressure forecast from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), two low pressure areas operating in the western Pacific are likely to develop into tropical depressions in the next few days.
Low pressure
A low pressure is currently located near Yap (Micronesia) and has a moderate chance of strengthening into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours. The wind will remain strong at about 25-35 km/h, and the environmental conditions will be quite favorable for development in the next 1-2 days.
The Philippine Atmospheric and Geophysical Agency (PAGASA) is also monitoring the low pressure.
The low pressure is located about 1,560 km east of Northeast Mindanao. PAGASA assessed the possibility of tropical depression formation at a high level.
It is likely that tomorrow evening or Sunday, the system will strengthen and become a tropical depression.
The low pressure is forecast to enter PAR on Sunday, November 2 or Monday, November 3 as a tropical depression or tropical storm.
Another low pressure is located in the western Pacific, with a low chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours. The strongest wind near the center of the depression is about 25-35 km/h.
Forecast models show that this low pressure is likely to continue moving westward and may gradually strengthen over the next few days.
Risk of storm formation, even super typhoon appearance
According to PAGASA's weather bulletin, the forecast model shows that next week, a new low pressure area may appear, moving west-north towards Palawan, then out of the Philippine monitoring area (PAR). This is a cloud system being observed in the Palawan and Mindoro regions.
In addition, the low pressure area off the Philippines is likely to gradually strengthen as it moves across the Philippine Sea. Initial forecasts show that by Sunday, the system could enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility and develop into a typhoon.
The possibility of this low pressure strengthening into a super typhoon before affecting the Philippine mainland cannot be ruled out.
However, due to the forecast time being far away, the trajectory and intensity may change, it is necessary to monitor further PAGASA bulletins.
Behind the system, the meteorological model also shows another low pressure area likely to form and move west-northwest, towards Northern Luzon next week. The paths of both systems are still uncertain.
The storm is expected to be Tino and next to Ferbena.
Recommendations for tourists
Tourists planning to travel by sea, fly through the Philippines, Taiwan (China)... or travel to coastal destinations this week and next week should:
Follow updates from official forecasters. Limit belief in unverified information spread on social networks about "super storms" or strong storms.
Check the weather before booking flights, island tours, sea tours; some trains or outdoor activities may be adjusted when the weather is bad.
Proactively contact airlines, hotels or travel companies to have a plan to change your schedule if there are new recommendations.
