According to storm forecasts from the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, Typhoon Nokaen currently maintains strong wind intensity of level 8, gusts of level 10, but the possibility of moving into the East Sea is almost unlikely due to the strong impact of the cold air mass operating in this area.
Currently, Typhoon Nokaen is operating off the coast of the Philippines, in a position relatively close to the East Sea but does not tend to move towards Vietnam.
Latest developments of Typhoon Nokaen
According to the Philippine meteorological agency, as of the morning of January 16, the center of Typhoon Nokaen was located in the sea area east of the Philippines, about 430 km from Maasin city. The area near the center of the typhoon recorded strong winds of level 8, equivalent to about 65 km/h, gusts of level 10 (about 80 km/h).
The radius of strong winds extends up to 400 km from the center of the storm.
Previously, in the afternoon of January 15, the storm moved in the North-Northwest direction at a speed of about 15 km/h. By the morning of January 16, the storm began to adjust its direction to the North - Northwest, and will slow down, only about 10 km/h.
Cold air dominates the path of the storm
According to the assessment of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, the cold air mass covering the East Sea is the main factor governing the trajectory and intensity of Typhoon Nokaen.
Around January 20-21, it is forecast that there will be an additional cold air wave from the north pouring down, continuing to push the storm completely to the Northeast. Therefore, the storm cannot enter the East Sea and will not become the number 1 storm of the 2026 storm season affecting Vietnam.
With the impact of cold air, Typhoon Nokaen is predicted to move away to the North, along the sea area east of the Philippines, then gradually weaken and dissipate at sea between January 20-21.
Weather forecast
Typhoon Nokaen hardly affects the weather on the sea as well as the mainland of Vietnam. In the coming days, our country's weather will mainly be directly affected by cold air, with relatively strong intensity.
Due to the influence of cold air, from near morning and on January 21, the northern sea area of the East Sea (including Hoang Sa special zone) has strong Northeast winds at level 6 - 7, gusts at level 8 - 9, and strong rough seas.
From the night of January 22 - 23, the Gulf of Tonkin will gradually strengthen the Northeast wind to level 6, gusting level 7 - 8, rough seas.
Forecast from January 23 - 25, the sea area from Quang Tri to Ca Mau, between the East Sea and the western sea area of the South East Sea (including the western sea area of the Truong Sa archipelago) will have Northeast winds of level 6 - 7, gusts of level 8 - 9, strong rough seas.
On land, due to the impact of cold air, from January 21 - 25, the mountainous and midland regions of the North will be very cold, with severe cold in some places, the lowest temperature is commonly 8 - 11 degrees Celsius.
Weather in the Northern Delta, the lowest temperature is about 11 - 13 degrees Celsius.
People and tourists need to prepare warm clothes, limit travel during cold spells or when there is a warning of frost, rain, and snow.
Coastal provinces and cities from Quang Ninh to An Giang are required to maintain communication and promptly notify captains and ship owners operating at sea about strong winds, in order to proactively prevent and adjust production plans, ensuring the safety of life and property.
