The stock market just had a reversal session of increasing by more than 50 points in yesterday's (July 16) derivatives maturity session thanks to bottom-fishing demand. However, in today's trading session (July 17), the stock market board was again flooded with red, before strong selling pressure from holders.
Yesterday's spectacular recovery session was not strong enough to stimulate cash flow back, even many investors chose to stand aside.
At the close of the trading session, HOSE had 95 gainers and 216 losers, VN-Index decreased by 16.79 points (-0.93%), down to 1,787.45 points. Total matched order volume reached more than 436.6 million units, worth 11,645.3 billion VND.
Thus, at the end of the trading week, the VN-Index decreased by 40.89 points, equivalent to -2.23%.
The biggest influence in today's session is still the pair VIC and VHM, taking away nearly 7 points of the index, although VIC only lost 1.4% and VHM decreased by 1.6%. Meanwhile, other bluechips also eased their decline, such as BSR -4.2% down to 24,900 VND/share, which is the stock with the strongest decrease in the VN30 basket. Followed by SSI -3% down to 24,250 VND/share.
Notably, PNJ shares were unexpectedly strongly pulled from the red color, closing up more than 5% to 43,000 VND, matching more than 7.5 million units, but foreign investors still net sold more than 1.8 million units.
The fact that the index continuously fluctuates with a large amplitude in many sessions makes the market likened by many investors to a "super-speed roller coaster". What is noteworthy is not that the market has seen rebounds after a sharp decrease, but that these rebounds have not yet shown an improvement in the quality of cash flow.
VN-Index has reacted many times when retreating to the 1,800 point zone, but mainly more naturally, as a sign of a sustainable recovery trend. And that is also the reason why investors choose to stand aside to observe. If demand is really strong enough, liquidity in the low price zone must improve and the market will maintain a balanced state afterwards. However, these signals have not yet appeared. To assess the trend, investors should not only look at the closing points but need to monitor the developments of leading stock groups such as Vingroup and banks.
Some experts believe that the market at this time is in great need of a strong enough catalyst to change the situation. It could be a move to lower interest rates from the State Bank, a specific support policy for the economy, or clearer signals from the market upgrade process.
Besides, there are some main signals that investors need to monitor. First of all, the possibility of maintaining the support zone around 1,800-1,820 points. If the index holds this zone, the short-term trend base has not been broken. In the opposite direction, the zone of 1,850-1,860 points will be the area to be overcome to open up room to test higher zones.
The second signal is liquidity. An increase is only truly reliable if the trading value improves significantly, instead of just a sudden increase in a single session.
The third signal is the spread of cash flow. If the market only increases thanks to some large-cap stocks, the possibility of breakthrough will be difficult to sustain. Conversely, the simultaneous participation of banks, securities, mid-cap groups and industries with positive profit prospects will be a better confirmation signal.
In this period, investors should not chase buying just because the index is approaching the peak area. The most suitable strategy is to combine holding the core in the medium term and trading flexibly according to events, instead of just betting on a single direction.
The recommendation given to investors is to maintain a portion of cash to have room to act when the market appears with a correction phase. Buying in the peak area always contains risks, while buying in the accumulation or correction phase will bring a better safety margin. Patience and selection are still two important keywords in this period.
