The stock market has just experienced a fairly good recovery week after 4 consecutive weeks of adjustment. However, market liquidity is still low. Besides major external risks, cautious cash flow as VN-Index is advancing into a higher resistance zone and the market lacks large enough information to lead, has caused the general psychology of defensive trading and not daring to disburse strongly.
Therefore, before entering the new trading week, most securities companies predict that the market will hardly be able to break through. However, in contrast, in today's trading session on June 22, the stock market witnessed VN-Index rebounding strongly despite the overwhelming red color on the electronic board.
At the close of the trading session, VN-Index increased by 33.38 points to the threshold of 1,858 points. On the HOSE exchange, there were 133 gainers, 183 losers. Although the index fluctuated strongly, market liquidity plummeted. Matched order value decreased by 4,000 billion VND compared to the end of last week, down to 14,600 billion VND.
In which, two stocks VHM and VIC contributed more than 1,500 billion VND, sharing the top two positions in the liquidity ranking. VIC and VHM closed the session at the ceiling price and had no sellers. Both recorded an outstanding buying volume of more than one million shares.
Stocks related to Vingroup dominated market diễn biến when contributing a total of 33.5 points to VN-Index. If excluding this group, the index representing the HOSE exchange fluctuated around the reference level.
Red color covered the real estate industry, except for the Vingroup group. Meanwhile, other industry groups have strong differentiation. Oil and gas is the only industry group that recorded a consensual upward momentum according to the diễn biến of world oil prices. POW, PVD, BSR all accumulated more than 1% compared to the reference level.
The market has somewhat regained its balance after a long period of adjustment, but it is not enough to confirm that a new upward trend has formed. VN-Index recovering back to the above 1,800 points zone is a positive sign, however, the point to note is that liquidity has improved but has not really exploded, while the market breadth is still quite clearly differentiated.
This shows that the recent recovery is only a necessary condition, not a sufficient condition for a more sustainable upward cycle. Cash flow is still cautious and prioritizes choosing stocks with their own story, instead of returning widely. Therefore, experts believe that in the coming week, the market is likely to continue to move in a positive accumulation direction, accompanied by fluctuations to re-test supply and demand.
Technically, the zone around 1,800 points currently plays an important psychological support role. If the index holds this zone, the market still has room to retest higher resistance zones around 1,850 - 1,860 points. However, to clearly surpass, the market needs more confirmation from liquidity and the spread of cash flow, instead of just relying on a few large-cap stocks.
Therefore, the appropriate strategy now is not to chase after the index, but to manage the portfolio in a balanced state, prioritizing stocks with good fundamentals, reasonable valuation and clear support stories in the second half of the year.
