The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is approaching its peak, and as expected, the hurricane formation zone is becoming more active as the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) issues a potential tropical storm advisory No. 5, is gradually forming east of the Leeward Islands.
NHC's storm forecast at 2:00 p.m. on August 10 local time shows that the low pressure with a wide band of showers and thunderstorms has become more active since August 7 and is currently located in the middle of the tropical Atlantic Ocean, about the middle of the Tropical Atlantic Ocean. Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean. NHC gives a 40% chance of this system developing in the next 2 days and an 80% chance in the next 7 days.
However, on August 11, NHC announced that storm No. 5 had formed in the Atlantic Ocean, earlier than previously forecast.
The tropics have become more active in the past few weeks with the development of Hurricane Debby, which first made landfall in Florida (USA) and then made landfall a second time in South Carolina as a tropical storm.
And right next, depression Invest 98L began to form as it moved through the warm waters of the tropical Atlantic and eventually became the storm that is now known as storm number 5 .
Since 2017, a potential tropical storm allows the NHC to issue routine advisories on a system that has not yet developed into a tropical depression or tropical storm but carries the threat of winds stronger than 62 km/h. h, landfall within 48 hours.
The rule also authorizes the issuance of tropical storm or hurricane watches and warnings for areas of highest concern about the storm's potential impacts.
The system is likely to become Tropical Storm Ernesto before reaching the Leeward Islands, the NHC said.
Currently, potential tropical storm number 5 is located in the tropical Central Atlantic Ocean.
Due to the threat that Potential Tropical Storm No. 5 poses to the Leeward Islands, as well as the territories of Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands, a tropical storm warning has been issued for Guadeloupe, St. Martin, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla.
A tropical storm warning means tropical storm conditions are possible within 2 days.
According to the NHC, there will likely be additional warnings or watches for Puerto Rico.
Potential Tropical Storm No. 5 will continue to move west as it crosses the tropical Central Atlantic before beginning to turn northwest near the Caribbean Islands, the NHC said.
Current models show the storm will move north after approaching Puerto Rico.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) just updated its latest storm forecast last week, predicting an extremely severe hurricane season with 17-24 named storms, of which 8-13 The storm will be a hurricane. Of these, 4-7 storms will become major storms.
The official Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
