The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in less than 100 days. There will be no tropical depressions or storms in the Atlantic basin in the coming time, but forecasters are closely monitoring weather conditions that could affect the development of the hurricane season.
"The Caribbean is extremely warm. This suggests that if a storm like Beryl forms in the region, we could see an unusually strong one this year, warned foX Weather forecaster Bryan Norcross.
The Caribbean Sea is experiencing above-average temperatures, raising concerns about more intense storms this season. If these conditions are exploited, the storm is likely to intensify rapidly and unpredictably like super typhoon Beryl in 2024. "If a storm like Beryl comes here, we will have an unusually strong one this year," Norcross warned.
Superstorm Beryl made history as the strongest Atlantic storm on record in June, beating Hurricane Audi in 2005. Beryl strengthened from a tropical depression to a Category 3 storm in less than 48 hours, a development unprecedented for storms that formed before September. The Atlantic is unlikely to record major storms before September 1.
Beryl continued to re-write the record as it entered July, with wind gusts of nearly 260 km/h on the night of July 1, becoming the earliest Category 5 super typhoon on record and beating the record set by Super Typhoon Emily on July 16, 2005. Hours later, Beryl continued to break records, with gusts of up to 265 km/h, surpassing Emily to become the strongest hurricane of July.
The list of hurricane names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has names similar to those in 2019, and Dorian has been replaced by Dexter. The 2019 typhoon season is considered by experts to be extremely intense, with 18 named storms, including the multi-day Category 5 super typhoon Dorian, leaving behind consequences that are still seen today.
A typical Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. However, the number of storms each season may vary depending on factors such as El Nino - Southern fluctuations, commonly known as ENSO. It is forecasted that during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, ENSO's neutrality, not La Nina or El Nino, will prevail.
The combination of neutral ENSO conditions and warm ocean waters increases the likelihood of storm formation outside the typical peak weeks in late August and September.
Typhoon experts warn that due to changing ENSO conditions, the time and cause of the storm in general are still uncertain. Forecasters are uncertain whether there will be more intense storms in the first or second half of the season or that they will appear regularly in the first 6 months of the season.
During the 2024 typhoon season, there will be a long period without storms or tropical depressions despite favorable conditions. This further highlights the unpredictability of storms in this year's forecast. Early forecast for the 2025 hurricane season will be officially released in April and May to provide more detailed information about forecast models.
