The weak La Nina phenomenon is affecting winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere. Currently, sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are cooler than average, showing that the La Nina phenomenon is occurring, ABC10.com said.
However, this weather pattern is changing and is expected to turn to neutral in the next few months.
The latest update on La Nina from the US National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) shows that the weak La Nina phenomenon will last until around April.
Forecast models show that the weak La Nina phenomenon has appeared since December 2024. Data from the CPC shows that there is a 60% chance that the weak La Nina phenomenon will continue in the period from February to April.
However, CPC forecasters note that "there is a 41% chance of ENSO neutral this spring". This is the first time in many months that the likelihood of a neutral weather pattern appearing is so high.
Therefore, it is very likely that the La Nina phenomenon will end and a neutral state will come at some point at the end of spring, between March and April.
In the forecast, experts at CPC said that in the last months of the summer (July - August - September), neutral conditions will still prevail, but there is about 30% chance of a La Nina phenomenon returning and about 20% chance of an El Nino phenomenon returning.