The latest storm and low pressure forecast bulletin on February 21 of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) stated that during the week from February 21 to 27, storm and low pressure forecast models found that there was little chance of a low pressure appearing in the East Sea and near the East Sea.
However, it is forecasted that during the week from February 28 to March 6, a new low pressure is likely to form east of Mindanao and Visayas, Philippines. This low pressure near the East Sea is unlikely to strengthen into a tropical storm.
In the bulletin, PAGASA also outlined a scenario for the forecast path of tropical cyclones forming in the Philippine PAR forecast area in February and March, although the storm is unlikely to appear in the two months.
In February, the path of storms near the East Sea will have 2 directions: First, storms form in the western Pacific then enter PAR and return to the Pacific; Second, storms form in the western Pacific, enter PAR and head straight towards the Philippine mainland but dissipate before making landfall.
Typhoons in March near the Philippines typically go in two directions: First, storms form in the Western Pacific then enter PAR and circle back into the Pacific; Second, storms form in the Western Pacific, enter PAR and make landfall in the central Philippines before entering the East Sea and dissipating in the East Sea.
The Philippines will see at least 18 typhoons in the 2024 typhoon season, including at least 6 strong typhoons Kristine (Trami), Leon (Kong-Rey), Marce (Yinxing), Nika (Toraji), Ofel (Usagi), Pepito ( Man Yi) that will appear from October to November 2024.
For the 2025 typhoon season, the Philippines has announced 25 typhoon names to name when the typhoon enters the PAR forecast area - an area designated by the World Meteorological Organization for the Philippine weather agency to monitor the weather.
The storm names for the 2025 typhoon season in the Philippines include: Auring, Bising, Crising, Dante, Emong, Fabian, Gorio, Huaning, Isang, Jacinto, Kiko, Lannie, Mirasol, Nando, Opong, Paolo, Quedan, Ramil, Salome, Tino, Uwan, Verbena, Wilma, Yasmin, Zoraida.
PAGASA names tropical storms locally as they enter the PAR forecast area. This practice began in 2019.
