Typhoon season has strange developments in the Pacific

Thanh Hà |

The record slow start of the 2024 hurricane season in the eastern Pacific could be a harbinger of bad developments in the Atlantic hurricane season.

Local 10's latest storm news points out that there seems to be a yin/yang balance with global storm activity. That's why the average number of named storms globally is around 80 to 90 per year without much variation. That is also the reason why when the Atlantic Ocean is hit by storms, the eastern Pacific Ocean is often peaceful (or vice versa).

While this year's Atlantic hurricane season had the third most intense start in modern record-keeping (since the mid-1960s), the eastern Pacific hurricane season had the slowest start on record. Data recording history (since 1971).

With a typical hurricane season, the eastern part of the northern Pacific usually gets off to a fast start compared to the Atlantic, with storm activity strongly increasing in the second week of July. As of the end of July, the eastern region The eastern Pacific usually welcomes five named storms, three hurricanes and at least one category 3 storm or higher.

However, this year's storm season, the Pacific basin only welcomed one named storm - storm Aletta - and kept it at storm level for less than 12 hours. Tropical activities in the eastern Pacific as of July 22 are 1% less than normal.

Two low pressures are being recorded in the eastern Pacific Ocean on July 24. Photo: Zoom Earth
Two low pressures are being recorded in the eastern Pacific Ocean on July 24. Photo: Zoom Earth

Local 10's storm forecasters note that the current time is when the storm season in the eastern Pacific is very active. However, the latest storm forecast shows that within the next 7 days, the possibility of a new storm is very small and the weather areas that have the possibility of strengthening into a tropical depression also seem to disappear. very fast.

However, the eastern Pacific has never gone an entire hurricane season without a storm, and even in the most unusual hurricane seasons, there will be major storms. However, this year the possibility of storms in this area will be much less.

The development of the hurricane season in the Pacific is considered a bad omen for the Atlantic. Many storm studies show that, on a global scale, although the number of named storms has not changed significantly over the past 30 years, individual basins have fluctuated, and that is the difference. offset of basins with each other.

For example, the western North Pacific is the most active tropical basin in the world but has seen a significant decline in the number of named storms since the early 1990s. Meanwhile, The number of storms in the North Atlantic tends to increase significantly.

Except for the North Atlantic, every tropical ocean basin around the globe, including the storm-prone western Pacific, is seeing a significant decrease in the number of storms so far in the current storm season. Storm forecasters say that the Atlantic hurricane season is likely to shoulder the burden of the Pacific storm this year.

Thanh Hà
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