American University Professor Allan Lichtman shared on "The Story" about the 2020 US election forecast, in which he proposed a choice between Democratic candidate Joe Biden and President Donald Trump, Fox News reported on October 31.
Historist Allan Lichtman is one of the predictors who predicted Donald Trump's election in the 2016 race to the White House.
President Donald Trump even congratulated him on a copy of the Washington Post article about the prediction of historian Allan Lichtman.
Sharing about his US presidential election prediction, historian Allan Lichtman emphasized that his entire non-partisan prediction system operates on 13 "keys" to the White House.
These " keys" assess the strength and effectiveness that the incumbent ruling party has shown in the recent term and the current incumbent government of Republican President Donald Trump.
Therefore, Mr. Allan Lichtman noted that leadership, not campaign, is the deciding factor in how he predicts who will be the next president in each US election prediction.
According to the American University economist, if there are about 6 of the 13 "key" factors in his prediction system that give the ruling party in the White House an unfavorable result, that party will be predicted to lose the election that year.
This is also the way he predicted that Mr. Donald Trump would be elected President of the United States in 2016, because at that time the Democrats had 6 factors that opposed the ability to continue to rule.
Regarding the 2020 US election, Professor Allan lightman made his choice between President Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden.
He said that this time he has a different prediction than current president Donald Trump. Professor Allan Lichtman pointed out that there are 7 factors that are not favorable for Mr. Trump according to his forecasting system.
Therefore, "My prediction is that Donald Trump will be the first sitting president since George H.W bush failed re-election in 1992 and that Joe Biden will become the next president of the United States," said Professor Allan Lichtman.
