Domestic coffee prices today
Coffee prices today in the domestic market simultaneously increased sharply compared to the previous session. The average coffee price currently reaches 89,600 VND/kg, an increase of 2,000 VND/kg.
In Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 89,500 VND/kg, an increase of 2,000 VND/kg. Gia Lai also had the same price of 89,500 VND/kg, an increase of 2,000 VND/kg compared to the previous session.
In Lam Dong, today's coffee price reached 89,000 VND/kg, the lowest among the surveyed localities but still increased by 2,000 VND/kg. Meanwhile, Dak Nong (old) continues to be the area with the highest price, reaching 89,000 VND/kg, an increase of 2,000 VND/kg.
This development brings domestic coffee prices back close to the threshold of 9,000 VND/kg, after a period of market pressure from the prospect of increased supply.
World coffee prices
On the London exchange, Robusta coffee futures for July 2026 closed at 3,594 USD/ton, up 131 USD/ton, equivalent to 3.78%. September 2026 futures reached 3,525 USD/ton, up 130 USD/ton, equivalent to 3.83%.
Further terms also simultaneously increased. Robusta November 2026 term reached 3,452 USD/ton, up 124 USD/ton; January 2027 term reached 3,390 USD/ton, up 121 USD/ton; March 2027 term reached 3,354 USD/ton, up 117 USD/ton.
On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee for July 2026 delivery reached 257.20 US cents/lb, up 3.25 cents/lb, equivalent to 1.28%. September 2026 delivery reached 253.40 US cents/lb, up 3.15 cents/lb; December 2026 delivery reached 246.45 US cents/lb, up 3.25 cents/lb.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,092 VND/USD, down 10 VND.
Coffee price assessment
According to Barchart, world coffee prices continued to rise in the last session of the week due to concerns that prolonged rain in Brazil's coffee growing areas could slow harvest progress. Weather forecasts show moderate to heavy rain will also appear in some coffee production areas of Brazil this week and may extend to next week.
Besides weather factors, reduced coffee inventories on the ICE exchange also supported prices. Arabica inventories monitored on the ICE fell to the lowest level in many months, while Robusta inventories remained low compared to the same period.
The El Niño factor is also receiving more attention from the market. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said that El Niño has appeared and is likely to strengthen in the Northern Hemisphere winter of 2026-2027. If this phenomenon changes rainfall in Brazil during the coffee flowering period, risks for the next crop supply may increase.
However, the upward momentum of coffee prices is still under pressure from the prospect of large supply. USDA/FAS forecasts that Brazil's coffee production in the 2026/27 crop year may reach a record level of 71.9 million bags, an increase of more than 14% compared to the previous crop year. Rabobank also raised its forecast for a global Arabica surplus, showing that the market has not escaped supply pressure in the medium term.
On the Robusta side, the increase in our country's coffee exports is a factor that can curb price increases. International organizations still assess Vietnam as the world's largest Robusta producer, and production in the 2025/26 crop year is forecast to improve compared to the previous year.
In general, coffee prices today increased sharply thanks to the short-term impact of Brazil's weather and low inventories. However, the upcoming trend still largely depends on the harvest progress in Brazil, El Niño developments and the rate of coffee exports from within the country.
