Coffee prices today 8/6: Supply pressure pulls prices down

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Coffee prices today 8. 6. 2026: Domestic prices slightly decreased by 100 VND/kg, while robusta and arabica in the world are under pressure from Brazil's supply prospects.

Domestic coffee prices

Domestic coffee prices today 08.06. 2026 recorded a slight downward trend in some key localities, with an average of 85,200 VND/kg, down 100 VND/kg compared to the previous session according to the data provided.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices are at 85. 100 VND/kg, down 100 VND/kg. Gia Lai also recorded 85. 100 VND/kg, down 100 VND/kg. Dak Nong (old) continues to be the locality with higher prices, reaching 85. 300 VND/kg, down 100 VND/kg. Meanwhile, Lam Dong is at 84. 500 VND/kg, the lowest in the surveyed locality group.

Thus, the price range of coffee in the Central Highlands currently fluctuates around 84. 500 - 85. 300 VND/kg. The decrease of 100 VND/kg is not large, but it shows that the domestic market is being affected by the weakening trend of world prices, especially when both robusta London and arabica New York have not shown clear recovery momentum.

In addition to coffee, pepper prices are recorded at 140,000 VND/kg.

World coffee prices

On the London exchange, robusta coffee prices updated on June 08, 2026 recorded the 07. 2026 futures contract at 3, 316 USD/ton. Further forwards were at 3, 233 USD/ton for contract 09. 2026, 3, 164 USD/ton for contract 11. 2026, 3, 098 USD/ton for contract 01. 2027 and 3, 057 USD/ton for contract 03. 2027 respectively. The 07. 2026 futures contract has an opening price of 3, 352 USD/ton, higher than the matched price of 3, 316 USD/ton.

On the New York exchange, arabica futures 07. 2026 were at 246.50 US cents/lb. The next terms recorded 242.10 US cents/lb for contract 09. 2026, 234.85 US cents/lb for contract 12. 2026, 232.75 US cents/lb for contract 03. 2027 and 232.70 US cents/lb for contract 05. 2027.

Coffee price assessment

The biggest pressure on the international market currently comes from the prospect of improved supply. USDA FAS forecasts that Brazil's coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year may reach a record 71.9 million bags, up 14% over the same period. Rabobank also raised its global arabica surplus forecast for the 2026-2027 crop year to 9.5 million bags, from the previous 7 million bags.

In addition to Brazil, the increase in Vietnam's coffee exports also put pressure on robusta. Data provided shows that Vietnam's coffee exports in the first 5 months of 2026 reached 922,000 tons, up 7.9% over the same period. Vietnam's coffee production in the 2025-2026 crop is forecast to increase by 6%, to 1.76 million tons, equivalent to 29.4 million bags.

The coffee market is being interspersedly affected by supply pressure and short-term supporting factors. Regarding the downward trend, the prospect of a record Brazilian crop, along with the forecast of a global arabica surplus, continues to be a major drag on prices. The weakening Brazilian real also encourages manufacturers in this country to boost export sales, thereby putting pressure on international prices.

However, the decline has not completely expanded because standard inventory on the ICE exchange is still low. Arabica inventory tracked by ICE decreased to 419,504 bags, the lowest level in 5.75 months. Robusta inventory also fell to a 2-year low in mid-May, currently only slightly increasing to 3,732 lots. This is an important supporting factor, especially in the context that the spot market still shows signs of local shortages.

Weather risks also need to be closely monitored. Concerns that El Nino may affect the flowering period in Brazil in September and October are creating psychological support for the market. If rain comes late or distribution is not favorable, Brazil's next crop prospects may be adjusted, leading to stronger fluctuations in the long-term contract group.

In the short term, domestic coffee prices are likely to continue to follow the pace of the London exchange. With the current level around 85,000 VND/kg, the domestic market may fluctuate narrowly if robusta has not regained a higher price range. However, low inventory levels and increased logistics costs due to international transport disruptions are still factors that can limit the deep decline.

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