Domestic coffee prices today
Coffee prices today in key production areas simultaneously increased sharply. The average price was recorded at 89,400 VND/kg, an increase of 700 VND/kg compared to the previous update.
In Dak Lak, coffee prices increased by 700 VND/kg, to 89,400 VND/kg. Gia Lai also recorded a price of 89,400 VND/kg, an increase of 700 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong, coffee prices today reached 89,000 VND/kg, an increase of 700 VND/kg but still the lowest level among the surveyed areas.
The old Dak Nong area continues to have the highest purchase price, reaching 89,500 VND/kg, an increase of 700 VND/kg.
Thus, domestic coffee prices currently range from 89,000-8,500 VND/kg. The gap between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 500 VND/kg.
After many fluctuations, domestic coffee prices have returned to the region above 89,000 VND/kg but have not yet reached the 9,000 VND/kg mark.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,106 VND/USD, an increase of 5 VND.
World coffee prices
World coffee prices continue to rise, with Robusta on the London exchange recording a higher increase than Arabica.
Robusta coffee futures for July 2026 increased by 127 USD/ton, equivalent to 3.55%, to 3,707 USD/ton. During the session, this contract at one point touched 3,757 USD/ton.
Robusta for September 2026 delivery increased by 49 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.38%, reaching 3,605 USD/ton. For November 2026 delivery, it increased by 44 USD/ton, to 3,554 USD/ton.
For further terms, Robusta January 2027 increased by 40 USD/ton, reaching 3,513 USD/ton; March 2027 term increased by 37 USD/ton, to 3,480 USD/ton.
On the New York exchange, the price of Arabica for July 2026 delivery increased by 3.60 US cents/lb, equivalent to 1.25%, to 291.55 US cents/lb. During the session, this contract at one point approached 300 US cents/lb, reaching a peak of 298.80 US cents/lb.
Arabica September 2026 futures increased by 1.25 US cents/lb, equivalent to 0.45%, to 277.20 US cents/lb. December 2026 futures increased by 1.90 US cents/lb, reaching 263.85 US cents/lb.
The March and May 2027 terms increased by 2.35 US cents/lb and 2.20 US cents/lb respectively, to 258.90 US cents/lb and 259.15 US cents/lb.
Coffee price assessment
According to financial data firm Barchart, coffee prices continued to extend the recovery lasting about two weeks and both reached the highest level in 6 weeks. In the latest session, Robusta prices increased more strongly than Arabica.
The main driving force continues to come from the weather in Brazil. Brazil's Climatempo weather forecasting company said a new cold air mass is causing rain in the southern region of the country, with expected rainfall exceeding 50 mm in the week.
Rain appearing at the right time of harvest may limit activities in the fields, slow down the progress of coffee harvesting and drying, and affect the quality of seeds.
Standard Arabica coffee inventories on the US Intercontinental Exchange (ICE Futures U.S.) continued to decrease, also creating significant support for prices. Arabica inventory decreased to 388,956 bags, the lowest in more than 2 years.
Meanwhile, Robusta inventories on the European Intercontinental Exchange (ICE Futures Europe) once fell to 3,631 lots in mid-May, before recovering to 4,032 lots.
The sharp drop in Arabica inventories amid intermittent harvesting in Brazil makes the market more sensitive to weather information. This is also one of the reasons why Arabica prices have increased continuously and at times approached the threshold of 300 US cents/lb.
El Niño risk continues to be monitored by businesses. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) assesses that there is a 63% chance that El Niño will reach very strong intensity in the period from November 2026 to January 2027.
However, the specific impact on coffee trees also depends on rainfall in Brazil during the flowering period, as well as weather conditions in Robusta production areas in Asia.
In terms of pressure, the prospect of Brazil's supply is still relatively large. The Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA/FAS) forecasts that Brazil's coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year will reach 71.9 million bags, an increase of about 14% compared to the previous crop year and may set a record.
Rabobank of the Netherlands also raised its global Arabica coffee surplus forecast for the 2026-2027 crop year from 7 million bags to 9.5 million bags. This shows that the current upward momentum is mainly driven by short-term risks from weather and inventory, while the medium-term supply prospects may still put pressure on prices.
For Robusta, the continued increase in Vietnamese coffee exports is a factor limiting the long-term upward momentum. However, in the short term, developments on the London exchange show that buying power has returned strongly after the previous decline.
