Domestic coffee prices today
Coffee prices today in the domestic market simultaneously increased in key production areas. The average coffee price was recorded at 89,900 VND/kg, an increase of 400 VND/kg compared to the previous update.
In Dak Lak, coffee prices today reached 89,900 VND/kg, an increase of 300 VND/kg. Coffee prices in Gia Lai were also recorded at 89,900 VND/kg, an increase of 400 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong, coffee prices reached 89,700 VND/kg, an increase of 300 VND/kg and the lowest level among the surveyed areas.
Meanwhile, the old Dak Nong area had the highest coffee price, reaching 9,000 VND/kg, an increase of 400 VND/kg.
Thus, domestic coffee prices currently range from 89,000-9,000 VND/kg. The difference between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 300 VND/kg.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,090 VND/USD, an increase of 9 VND.
World coffee prices
World coffee prices fluctuated in opposite directions in the most recent trading session. Robusta prices on the London exchange maintained a slight increase, while Arabica prices on the New York exchange turned down.
On the London exchange, Robusta coffee futures for July 2026 reached 3,685 USD/ton, up 5 USD/ton, equivalent to 0.14%. During the session, this contract at one point increased to 3,736 USD/ton.
Robusta futures for September 2026 reached 3,629 USD/ton, up 7 USD/ton, equivalent to 0.19%. For November 2026, it reached 3,587 USD/ton, up 13 USD/ton, equivalent to 0.36%.
For further terms, Robusta in January 2027 reached 3,545 USD/ton, an increase of 20 USD/ton; the March 2027 term also increased by 20 USD/ton, to 3,514 USD/ton.
On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee futures for July 2026 fell 2.75 US cents/lb, or 0.99%, to 275.10 US cents/lb.
Arabica futures for September 2026 fell 4.10 US cents/lb, equivalent to 1.51%, to 267.80 US cents/lb. December 2026 futures fell 5.25 US cents/lb, to 257.90 US cents/lb.
The March and May 2027 terms decreased by 5.45 US cents/lb and 5.25 US cents/lb respectively, to 254.40 US cents/lb and 254.55 US cents/lb.
Notably, Arabica for July 2026 futures once increased to 285.75 US cents/lb in the session but then reversed to decrease. This development shows that profit-taking pressure appeared after the strong increase in coffee prices in previous sessions.
Coffee price assessment
World coffee prices have increased sharply in the past week and at times reached a 5-week high. However, the market reversed from a high in the session when the USD index increased sharply, promoting the liquidation of buying positions in the coffee market.
The rising USD often puts pressure on commodity prices valued in this currency, making purchasing costs more expensive for users of other currencies. This impact is more evident with Arabica, as contracts on the New York exchange simultaneously fell.
Weather in Brazil is still an important factor supporting coffee prices. Prolonged rain in some coffee growing areas raises concerns about slow harvest progress, and may affect drying and grain quality.
However, the prospect of drier weather in key coffee growing areas of Brazil next week has somewhat reduced concerns about harvesting activities, causing coffee prices to narrow their gains in the session.
Coffee inventory on the ICE exchange is also sending mixed signals. Arabica inventory decreased to 394.267 bags, the lowest level in more than 2 years, thereby continuing to support prices.
Conversely, Robusta inventory has increased to 4,032 lots, the highest level in more than 2 months. The increase in the amount of Robusta coffee put into the ICE standard warehouse system may limit the increase of this item.
El Niño risk is also continuing to be monitored by the market. According to NOAA, El Niño is present and is forecast to strengthen in the North hemisphere winter of 2026-2027. This phenomenon may change rainfall in coffee producing regions in South America and Asia.
However, the impact of El Niño on coffee trees also depends on the timing and level of weather changes in each region. The market is particularly interested in rainfall in Brazil in September and October, the period when coffee trees usually enter the flowering season.
On the side of putting pressure on prices, USDA/FAS forecasts that Brazil's coffee production in the 2026/27 crop year may reach a record level of 71.9 million bags, an increase of about 14% compared to the previous crop year. Rabobank also raised its global Arabica surplus forecast from 7 million to 9.5 million bags.
Robusta supply from our country continues to be a noteworthy factor in the market. According to data from the Ministry of Finance, our country's coffee exports in the first 5 months of 2026 reached 922,000 tons, an increase of 7.9% compared to the same period.
In general, coffee prices are being interspersedly affected. Low Arabica inventories, Brazilian weather risks and El Niño support prices; while the strong USD, the prospect of a large crop in Brazil and increased Vietnamese supply may limit the upward momentum.
