Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market in the morning trading session of June 3, 2026 recorded a positive recovery momentum after a series of previous downward adjustments. According to survey data in key growing areas of the Central Highlands, the bulk purchase price simultaneously increased slightly from 500 to 600 VND per kg, bringing the regional average price level to the threshold of 87,200 VND per kg.
In Dak Nong province (old), the purchase price increased by 600 VND, to 87,300 VND per kg, continuing to maintain the highest position in the region.
In Dak Lak and Gia Lai, prices both recorded an increase of 500 VND, currently trading stably at the threshold of 87,200 VND per kg.
Meanwhile, the Lam Dong area listed a price of 86,700 VND per kg after increasing by 500 VND compared to the previous session.
In other items, pepper prices remained unchanged at the threshold of 139,000 VND per kg, especially the USD/VND exchange rate at Vietcombank recorded at 26,092 VND.
World coffee prices
Developments on international futures exchanges in the nearest closing session continued to witness clear differentiation between the two exchanges.
On the London exchange, Robusta futures for July 2026 delivery continued to maintain green with an increase of 24 USD, equivalent to 0.70%, closing the session at 3,462 USD per ton.
Conversely, the New York exchange recorded Arabica futures for July 2026 delivery down 1.40 cents, equivalent to 0.54%, falling to 259.20 cents per pound. Pressure on Arabica prices mainly comes from a drier weather forecast in Brazil this week, a factor expected to support the resumption of harvesting after a period of interruption due to heavy rain.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
World coffee prices closed in opposite directions on Tuesday, with Arabica prices falling to the lowest level of the nearest contract in 1.5 years.
The coffee market is entering a period of fierce tug-of-war between fundamental factors.
On the one hand, pressure from global supply prospects is weighing heavily on speculators' sentiment. Reputable organizations such as Coffee Trading Academy forecast that Brazil's 2026/27 coffee production will increase sharply by 12% over the same period, reaching the threshold of 71.4 million bags, while StoneX forecasts that the global surplus in 2026 may reach 10 million bags.
Coffee exports from our country in the first 4 months of this year increased by 15.8%, which is also a factor putting negative pressure on Robusta prices.
However, the long-term picture still contains many risks for the selling side. Concerns about the El Niño weather phenomenon that is likely to turn into a "Super El Niño" spell later this year, combined with prolonged drought, are directly threatening Brazil's 2026/27 crop harvest.
At the same time, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continues to push up transportation costs, insurance and fertilizers, increasing costs for roasters around the globe, thereby maintaining pressure to tighten the actual supply.
In the near future, coffee prices are likely to continue to fluctuate strongly according to weather developments in Brazil. If harvesting conditions in South America are really favorable in June, prices may be under adjustment pressure.
Conversely, if the drought situation in Vietnam continues to prolong, Robusta prices on the London exchange have every opportunity to maintain their upward momentum or break through if inventories continue to maintain at a record low.
