Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market on April 15 continued to increase, shortening the gap with the peak set on March 24 by about 6,500 VND/kg.
According to surveys in key growing areas of the Central Highlands, coffee prices simultaneously increased by 600 VND/kg, bringing the average price level of the whole region to the threshold of 87.100 VND/kg.
In Dak Nong province (old), the recorded purchasing price was the highest in the region at 87.2 million VND/kg.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai localities ranked 2nd in the region with a price threshold of 87.1 million VND/kg.
With the same increase of 600 VND, Lam Dong province listed it at 86,600 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
On the international market, futures exchanges increased sharply. Closing the trading session, the price of online Robusta coffee contracts for May 2026 delivery on the London exchange increased sharply by 3.19% (about 107 USD/ton), to 3,458 USD/ton.
July 2026 futures contract increased by 2.98% (equivalent to 97 USD/ton), reaching 3,351 USD/ton.
Similarly, on the New York Stock Exchange, Arabica coffee for May 2026 delivery increased slightly by 0.6% (1.8 US cents/lb), reaching 302.65 US cents/lb. July 2026 delivery contract increased by 0.46% (1.35 US cents/lb), reaching 297.6 US cents/lb.
Robusta coffee prices soared to a one-week high, while Arabica coffee prices slightly recovered from a one-month low last week.
Market outlook
Declining supply from Brazil is supporting prices after the country's March green coffee exports fell 10% over the same period, to 2.65 million bags. Previously, the Brazilian Ministry of Commerce also reported that March exports fell 31%, to 151,000 tons.
Lower-than-average rainfall in Brazil is also a factor supporting prices. Minas Gerais region - the largest Arabica growing area, only received 4.2 mm of rain last week, equivalent to 20% of the historical average.
The increase in Arabica prices is somewhat slower due to forecasts of strong production growth in Brazil in the next crop year. According to Reuters, agricultural consulting firm Safras & Mercado said that Brazil's coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year is forecast to reach 75.65 million bags (60 kg type), an increase of 17% compared to the previous crop year.
Most of this increase came from Arabica coffee, with an estimated output of 49.95 million bags, up 29% compared to the previous crop year.
At the same time, the sales activities of the new crop are still slow, when farmers have only sold 14% of the expected output for the 2026-2027 crop year, lower than the 5-year average of 23%.
Dry weather combined with exchange rate fluctuations and global supply and demand momentum are maintaining a high level of market volatility in the first days of the week. Although Robusta prices have increased, the trading pace is not even between coffee varieties, which also depends a lot on domestic conditions as well as exchange rate diễn biến.
