The unstable situation makes Iran's ticket to the 2026 World Cup unpredictable, although FIFA President Gianni Infantino affirmed that the Asian team will still participate. Iran is placed in a group with Belgium, Egypt and New Zealand, with a schedule stretching across many locations in the US.
However, FIFA's refusal to move the venue from the US territory may push Iran into a situation where it is forced to withdraw, creating a dilemma right before the tournament. In that context, FIFA is expected to soon prepare a firefighting plan.
FIFA may consider creating a special play-off round, gathering 4 teams that did not pass the qualifiers, including 2 European representatives and 2 Asian teams. This will be the last chance to determine a replacement if Iran officially withdraws.
In this scenario, Italy emerged as the leading candidate for a European spot thanks to their high ranking in the FIFA rankings. The sky-blue team previously disappointed when they lost to Bosnia & Herzegovina in a penalty shootout in the play-off match, thereby missing their 3rd consecutive World Cup.
After a great disappointment, coach Gennaro Gattuso left his position, leading to a series of upstage upheavals. However, the door to hope is not completely closed for Italy. If a rare scenario occurs, the 2026 World Cup may witness a major turning point, opening up opportunities for Italy to revive at the last minute.