The Thai team must face a difficult problem playing away at My Dinh Stadium in the second leg final. After a 0-2 defeat at Rajamangala, the "War Elephants" need a 3-goal victory to reverse the situation and win the championship.
Experience playing in regional tournaments helps Thailand still have a basis to nurture hope. However, coach Anthony Hudson's team must carefully calculate between attack and defense. If they push the squad too high, they may reveal gaps for the opponent to exploit.
With the Vietnamese team, the 2-goal advantage allows coach Kim Sang-sik and his team to be more proactive. The home team does not need to push up the speed from the beginning but can prioritize controlling the ball, keeping the team's formation apart and waiting for counter-attack opportunities. However, the defending champion still has to maintain focus, because just 1 early goal could change the game.
Quang Hai and his teammates are facing the opportunity to defend their advantage after the first leg. If the pressure in the early period of the match is limited, Vietnam can direct the match according to a favorable scenario.
According to predictions from supercomputer B.S, the Vietnamese team has a 39% chance of winning, while the probability of Thailand winning is 37.6%. The possibility of the two teams sharing points is assessed at 23.4%.
The expected goal index is also quite balanced, Vietnam reaches 1.62 xG and Thailand is 1.59 xG.
Among the scenarios put forward, 2-1 is the score with the highest probability if Vietnam wins, reaching 8.4%. The next possibilities are 1-0 (6.6%), 2-0 (5.3%) and 3-1 (4.6%). If Thailand wins, 2-1 is the most predicted result with 8.3%, while 1-1 is the highest probability draw with 10.4%.
