Domestic coffee prices today
Opening the first trading session of the new week on May 25, 2026, the domestic coffee market did not maintain the excitement of the previous weekend. According to survey data, the purchase price of soybean kernels has simultaneously cooled down, losing from 300 to 400 VND/kg.
Dak Nong (old): Reduced by 400 VND, retreating to 87,700 VND/kg, but still continues to lead in purchasing prices throughout the region.
Dak Lak: Reduced by 400 VND, currently trading at the threshold of 87,600 VND/kg.
Gia Lai: Recorded a slight decrease of 300 VND, listed at the same level as Dak Lak at 87,600 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: Reduced by 400 VND, pushing the purchase price down to the lowest level in the region at 87,000 VND/kg.
Notably, pepper today also recorded a decrease of 1,000 VND, falling to the level of 141,000 VND/kg. Conversely, the USD/VND exchange rate at Vietcombank slightly increased by 2 VND, currently listed at 26,132 VND/USD.
World coffee prices
Due to time zone differences, as of noon today (Vietnam time), both ICE London and New York futures exchanges have not yet entered the official order matching session of Monday. Electronic boards are currently temporarily frozen, maintaining the opposite closing level of last Friday:
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): July futures (RMN26) anchored at a high of $3,456/ton (maintaining the breakthrough +57 USD from the end of the week).
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): July futures (KCN26) sideways at 272.35 cents/lb (currently in the lowest price range in 1.5 years).
Coffee market outlook
The coffee market is currently caught between two opposing macroeconomic information flows, creating a fierce tug-of-war in investor sentiment:
The current high price of Robusta is greatly supported by the drought in Vietnam. According to the weather forecasting agency, rainfall in the Central Highlands in the past time is still very scattered and scarce, directly threatening the development of young coffee fruit trees. Severe drought has caused ponds and lakes in Gia Lai and many Central Highlands regions to dry up to the bottom, thousands of hectares of coffee and pepper fell into a state of thirst.
In addition, the "Super El Niño" specter (with a 67% probability of occurring according to NOAA) is raising concerns that the rainy season in Brazil will be delayed to September and October, with the risk of devastating the 2026/27 crop. Arabica inventories hitting a 3-month low (449,567 bags) is also a safe buffer zone to prevent prices from falling freely.
Although the weather is very risky, the actual crop season of Brazil is being assessed as extremely good. "Big players" such as Marex and StoneX continuously emphasize the production figure of 75.3 - 75.9 million bags, pushing the global surplus in 2026 to a record level of 10 million bags. At the same time, Vietnam's export data increased sharply by 15.8% (reaching 810,000 tons in the first 4 months of the year) along with the fact that Robusta inventories on the London exchange have just recovered to a 6-week high (3,968 lots) are burdens hindering price increases.
The slight downward correction at the beginning of the week in the domestic market shows the caution of traders ahead of the new South American crop line pouring into the market.
