Domestic coffee prices today
The domestic coffee market in the morning session of May 21, 2026 recorded a slight downward adjustment trend, immediately cutting off the recovery streak of yesterday's trading session.
According to survey data in key growing areas of the Central Highlands, bulk purchase prices simultaneously decreased by 100 to 200 VND per kg, bringing the regional average price level to 86,000 VND per kg.
Specifically, in Dak Nong province (old), the purchasing price decreased the most by 200 VND, falling to the threshold of 86.100 VND per kg but still maintaining the highest price in the region.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai localities both recorded a slight decrease of 100 VND, currently trading stably at 86,000 VND per kg.
Meanwhile, the Lam Dong area listed the lowest price in the region at 85,500 VND per kg after losing 100 VND compared to the previous session.
In other items, pepper prices remained unchanged at the level of 142,000 VND per kg, especially the USD/VND exchange rate at Vietcombank recorded a fairly strong increase of up to 10 VND, currently trading around the threshold of 26,131 VND.
World coffee prices
Developments on international futures exchanges in the nearest closing session continued to witness the dominance of the selling side, causing red to cover both exchanges. On the New York exchange, Arabica coffee prices for July 2026 delivery fell another 1.85 cents, equivalent to 0.68%, closing at 268.30 cents per pound.
Sharing the downward trend, the London exchange recorded Robusta futures for July delivery in 2026 falling 17 USD, equivalent to 0.51%, falling to the threshold of 3,328 USD per ton, officially setting the lowest level in the past month. This decline shows that the short-term optimistic sentiment from the lack of technical buying replenishment in the previous session was quickly extinguished by the wave of defensive selling as South American countries entered the peak harvest.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
From the perspective of market analysts, the coffee price situation is under heavy pressure from the prospect of abundant supply on a global scale.
Forecast data from Coffee Trading Academy and Marex Group Plc both simultaneously indicated the 2026 crop output. 2027 of Brazil will grow strongly, even StoneX forecasts that the global surplus in 2026 will expand to 10 million bags, the highest level in the past 6 years. In Vietnam, the export momentum in the first 4 months of the year increased sharply by 15.8% to 810,000 tons from the Bureau of Statistics continues to be a factor directly hindering the recovery momentum of the London exchange, even when Robusta inventory monitored by ICE just had a slight recovery to a 2.5-week high of 3,845 lots.
Although the "bottlenecks" from the closure of themuz Strait increased global transportation costs and Brazil's decrease in exports in April are still technical support, pressure from the new crop line about to flood the market in June is expected to make domestic coffee prices unlikely to have a strong breakthrough.
