Currently, storm No. 3 has strengthened to level 13 - 14, increasing to level 5 - 6 since the storm entered the East Sea. Given the dangerous nature of this storm, Dr. Hoang Phuc Lam - Deputy Director of the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, General Department of Hydro-Meteorology has provided warning information to the people.
Sir, why did storm number 3 Yagi continuously increase in intensity after entering the East Sea?
- The reason why storm No. 3 has continuously increased in intensity in the past 24 hours is because the environmental conditions in the North East Sea are favorable for the development of the storm with a high temperature of 31 degrees Celsius maintained for many days. In addition, this area has not had a storm for a long time, so the accumulated energy, humidity, atmospheric circulation and atmospheric pressure have continuously increased. In the next 24 - 48 hours, storm No. 3 is forecast to continue to increase in intensity and is likely to reach its maximum intensity around the afternoon of September 6.
At this point, what is the probability of storm number 3 entering the Gulf of Tonkin, sir?
- The probability of storm No. 3 entering the Gulf of Tonkin is about 70-80%. Around the night of September 6, the storm entered the Gulf of Tonkin. Storm No. 3 is one of the strongest storms to enter the Gulf of Tonkin in the past 10 years.
The intensity and trajectory may be comparable to some strong storms in 2014 and 2016. Meteorological stations around the world share the same assessment with the Vietnam Meteorological Agency about the trajectory and trend of storm No. 3 with a common intensity of level 15 - 17.
It is forecast that when entering the Gulf of Tonkin, the storm will pass Hainan Island and the north of Leizhou Peninsula (China) and will weaken.
With such a scenario, when do you predict storm number 3 will have the strongest impact on mainland Vietnam, sir?
- Early morning and noon on September 7, coastal areas and mainland of our country will have strong winds and significantly increased rain. The peak of heavy rain on the mainland will be in the afternoon of September 7 and on September 8.
The areas directly affected on a large scale are the Northern and North Central regions, with strong winds of level 6 or higher accompanied by heavy rain. The focus is on the provinces of Quang Ninh - Hai Phong - Thai Binh - Nam Dinh - Ninh Binh, with the strongest winds and heaviest rain. And the two provinces of Quang Ninh - Hai Phong are the focus of impact. From September 7 to 9, the Northern and North Central regions are at high risk of flooding, flash floods, and landslides.
Coastal winds near the storm center can reach level 9 - 11, gusting to level 13.
Thank you very much!