The Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Climate Change has issued a 3-month climate forecast (from January to March 2025) based on climate change analysis, the Institute's statistical model, and forecast bulletins from major climate centers around the world.
Regarding ENSO activity, at present, atmospheric and oceanic conditions are in an intermediate state leaning towards the cold phase. ENSO is forecast to likely remain in its current state from January to March 2025.
Temperature trends from January to March 2025 are approximately the average value of many years in the same period in most of the country.
The number of cold spells affecting Vietnam in the first 3 months of the year is approximately the average value of many years. According to statistics, on average in the 3 months from January to March, there are 10 - 11 cold spells. The number of days with severe cold is approximately the average of many years. Beware of the possibility of severe cold spells lasting for a long time in January and February.
The summer monsoon is likely to start earlier to near the multi-year average.
Total rainfall from January to March 2025 is likely to be approximately equal to or lower than the multi-year average in the North, approximately equal to the multi-year average in the North Central region; higher than the multi-year average in the South Central region, Central Highlands, and South.
The 2025 dry season in the Central Highlands and the South is not severe. The possibility of unseasonal rains will ease drought conditions in the region.
The meteorological research agency added that in the first 3 months of 2025, there is little possibility of tropical cyclones (storms/tropical depressions) appearing in the East Sea.
