Forecast of upcoming cold air and number of cold days

AN AN |

From now until the end of winter, the cold air will be weaker than the multi-year average. Cold spells will be concentrated in February 2026.

The National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting has forecast the climate trend from February 2026 to January 2027. In which, forecast information about cold air and hot sun has many notable developments.

Accordingly, from February - April 2026, the average temperature nationwide is generally approximately equal to the multi-year average, especially the Northern region, Thanh Hoa - Hue in February - March 2026 and the Northern Delta region in April 2026 have an average temperature 0.5 - 1 degree Celsius higher than the multi-year average of the same period. From May - July 2026, the average temperature nationwide is generally approximately equal to the multi-year average of the same period.

According to Mr. Nguyen Duc Hoa - Deputy Head of the Climate Forecasting Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting, cold air continues to be active and tends to shift eastward.

Theo ông Nguyễn Đức Hòa - Phó Trưởng phòng Dự báo khí hậu, từ nay đến hết mùa đông, rét đậm tập trung chủ yếu trong tháng 2. Ảnh: An An
According to Mr. Nguyen Duc Hoa - Deputy Head of the Climate Forecasting Department, from now until the end of winter, severe cold will mainly concentrate in February. Photo: An An

The phenomenon of severe cold and harmful cold occurs mainly in the mountainous and midland areas of the Northern region" - Mr. Hoa said.

Assessing the winter weather this year, Mr. Nguyen Van Huong - Head of Weather Forecast Department, National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that the winter of 2025 - 2026 tends to be warmer than the multi-year average. The temperature throughout the winter is generally 0.5 - 1 degree Celsius higher than the multi-year average. The number of days of severe cold and harmful cold in winter is also forecast to be less than the average.

In the remaining time of winter and in February, the number of severe cold days is likely to be less than the multi-year average. It is forecasted that severe cold may still appear, but for a short time in the Northern region, the intensity is likely not too strong" - the Head of the Weather Forecast Department also recommended.

Regarding hot weather in 2026, according to Mr. Nguyen Duc Hoa, hot weather is likely to appear in the Southern region from about the end of February to the beginning of March 2026 in the Southeast region; then there is a trend of increasing intensity and gradually expanding to the Mekong Delta region.

In the Northwest region, localized hot weather may appear from March 2026. From around April 2026, the area from Thanh Hoa to Hue is likely to experience hot weather; then from around the end of April, it will gradually expand throughout the Northern and Central regions.

From around May, the heat gradually decreased in the southern provinces, especially the Northern and Central regions increased in intensity" - Mr. Hoa said.

From August to December 2026, the average temperature is generally higher than the multi-year average of the same period; January 2027, the average temperature is generally approximately equal to the multi-year average of the same period.

In August 2026, hot weather will continue to occur in the Northern and Central regions, then from around September hot weather will tend to gradually decrease. Hot weather is likely to occur more than the same period in 2025. 8.

In the last months of 2026 and early 2027, cold air is likely to operate at a level equivalent to the multi-year average.

Previously, in 2025 there were 23 cold air waves (fewer than the average of many years). In which the period from July - December 2025 had 9 cold air waves, mainly concentrated in October - December 2025. Notably, there were 5 cold air waves causing strong winds of level 7, gusts of level 9 in the Gulf of Tonkin.

By the end of December 2025, widespread severe cold and harmful cold phenomena have not appeared and are later than the multi-year average (multi-year average, the first severe cold spell is around the second half of December every year).

AN AN
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