The storm/low pressure forecast bulletin of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that the low pressure area outside the Philippine Forecast Area (PAR) developed into a tropical depression at 8:00 p.m. on October 20.
At 5:00 a.m. on October 21, the tropical depression entered the PAR and was named Kristine - the 11th storm in the Philippines in 2024.
The center of Typhoon Kristine is located at about 13.6 degrees north latitude, 133.9 degrees east longitude, about 1,050 km east of southeast Luzon.
Maximum sustained winds near the center are 55 km/h and gusts of up to 70 km/h. The storm's area of influence extends up to 550km from the center of the storm. Typhoon Kristine is moving southwest at a relatively fast speed of 30 km/h.
PAGASA issued Tropical Storm Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 1, warning of strong winds of level 6-7 in Luzon, Catanduanes, and Visayas in the next 36 hours.
Sea conditions forecast for the next 24 hours: Moderate rough seas with 4m waves on the Isabela coast, northern Aurora coast, Catanduanes, Northern Samar and the east coast of mainland Cagayan.
Waves are as high as 3.5 m on the Batanes coast, the remaining coasts of Cagayan and Aurora, the east coast of Quezon, the remaining eastern coast of the Bicol Region and the east coast of Eastern Samar.
3m high waves in the Ilocos Coast, Dinagat Islands Coast and Davao Region Coast.
Small vessels are advised not to depart for sea under these conditions.
Typhoon Kristine is forecast to move westward until tomorrow morning (October 22) before turning west-northwest to northwest from tomorrow afternoon until the end of the forecast period.
The tropical storm is expected to make landfall in Northern Luzon on Friday afternoon (25.10).
Typhoon No. 11 could strengthen to severe typhoon status tomorrow afternoon or evening (October 22) and typhoon status by Thursday afternoon or evening (October 24.) before making landfall in the northeastern part of Cagayan.
Because storm No. 11 is still in the Philippine Sea, the possibility of further strengthening is very high, considering the favorable environmental conditions (high sea surface temperature and low wind shear) for development.
Changes in the forecast track are also not ruled out, depending on the movement of mid-latitude weather systems in the coming days.
In response to these developments, the public and relevant disaster risk management and mitigation offices are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property.
People living in areas identified as vulnerable to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation instructions and other instructions from local authorities.
