The battle is two but one

Ngạc Ngư |

Along with the conflict between the US and Israel and Iran, in the Middle East region there is also a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah forces in southern Lebanon.

Like the conflict between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip and the conflict between the US and Iran, a ceasefire agreement has also been reached in Lebanon.

The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon took effect from April 17, but this agreement almost only exists nominally.

In fact, Israel continues to fight here, bringing troops deeper and deeper into Lebanese territory, attacking Hezbollah.

Hezbollah is still firing missiles into Israeli territory. Fighting is still taking place even though representatives of Israel and Lebanon continue to negotiate with each other in the US.

Most recently, Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam accused Israel of carrying out a "war on the ground" strategy, that is, destroying and creating an empty homeless landscape in southern Lebanon.

Outwardly, Israel's fighting in Lebanon is separate from the US and Israel's conflict with Iran.

In essence, these two wars are the manifestation of a confrontation between the US and Israel and Iran. The US and Israel consider Hezbollah forces in Lebanon as Iran's extended arm and accuse Iran of using Hezbollah to carry out a type of "commissioned war" against Israel in the Middle East.

In Israel's strategic and tactical consideration and calculation, the conflict between the US and Israel with Iran has weakened Iran economically and militarily, creating a favorable opportunity for Israel to completely destroy Hezbollah, something that Israel has not yet done even though it has repeatedly engaged in fighting with Hezbollah and even occupied southern Lebanon for a long time. Israel believes that Iran is attacked by the US and Israel like that, so it no longer has the financial and military capacity to support and back Hezbollah as before.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu took advantage of the US and Israeli conflict with Iran to eliminate Hezbollah in Lebanon. Therefore, he always intended to separate Israel's fighting in Lebanon from the conflict in Iran and urged the US to fight to the end with Iran.

Iran links Israel's termination of fighting in Lebanon to all agreements with the US, whether it is a ceasefire agreement or a final peaceful political solution, considering it a prerequisite for the US.

Up to now, US President Donald Trump still demands that Iran end "promised wars" as a condition for a peace treaty with Iran, but when the need to reach a peace treaty with Iran becomes too urgent, he may not stick to that request to the end.

Mr. Netanyahu is concerned that this scenario will happen, so he is currently promoting fighting in Lebanon to create more security benefits for Israel before the US and Iran reach a peace treaty together.

It is also because of this that the next developments of the fighting that Israel is conducting in Lebanon depend on factors such as whether the US and Iran reach a peace treaty with each other or not and if it is reached when, and whether the US and Iran can compromise with each other about whether Israel's fighting in Lebanon is present in the content of the peace treaty between the US and Iran or not.

Ngạc Ngư
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