As the El Nino phenomenon continues to strengthen, major changes in global weather and temperatures could put this phenomenon into the "super El Nino" group.
On June 11, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) confirmed that El Nino had officially appeared. This is a hot phase of a multi-year natural climate cycle, which could cause global temperatures to rise sharply, while causing extreme weather phenomena and unusual rainfall.
NOAA scientists say that El Nino currently has a 63% chance of developing into a "super El Nino" before January 2027. An event considered super El Nino when the sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific region is 2 degrees Celsius above average.
The most recent El Nino occurred in the period 2023-2024 and contributed to creating record temperatures worldwide. According to CNN, super El Nino events are rarer, with the most recent appearances in the periods 2025-2026, 1997-1998 and 1982-1983.
Current forecast models predict that super El Nino may last from November 2026 to January 2027. If this scenario occurs, this will be one of the strongest El Nino waves ever recorded since 1950.
Although the diễn biến of El Nino is often difficult to predict, this phenomenon is likely to cause major changes in weather and environment globally. Many areas may record significantly warmer winters than usual, accompanied by heavy rainfall and increased risk of flooding. Meanwhile, some other places may face drought and prolonged heat waves, raising concerns about the risk of forest fires.
