Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning continued to record a downward adjustment, extending the series of gloomy days of this agricultural product.
After losing the mark of VND90,000/kg yesterday, the purchase price in key growing areas today continued to decrease by VND200 to VND500/kg, bringing the average price down to VND89,300/kg.
In Dak Lak province, the purchase price decreased by VND 500/kg, currently trading at VND 89,300/kg.
Similarly, in Dak Nong (old), although still the locality with the highest price in the region, it cannot avoid the general trend when decreasing by 500 VND, down to 89,500 VND/kg.
In Gia Lai, dealers have adjusted the price down by VND300, bringing the price to VND89,000/kg.
Lam Dong province still recorded the lowest price, slightly decreasing by 200 VND to 88,500 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
In the international market, red still covers two major exchanges, pushing coffee prices to their lowest level in the past 4 months.
On the London Stock Exchange, Robusta coffee futures for delivery in January 2026 decreased by 25 USD (equivalent to 0.66%), closing at 3,774 USD/ton. The March 2026 delivery period also decreased by 28 USD, down to 3,677 USD/ton.
Following the same trend, on the New York exchange, Arabica coffee futures for March 2026 decreased by 2.30 cents (equivalent to 0.66%), down to 345.10 cents/lb.
Although the decrease range has narrowed compared to yesterday's sharp decline, selling pressure is still clearly present as fundamental factors are all fighting the price increase.
Coffee price assessment and forecast
The market is under double pressure from monetary and weather factors. Brazil's Real fell to a 4.5-month low against the US dollar on Thursday, which encouraged Brazilian farmers to boost export sales to benefit from exchange rates.
In terms of weather, heavy rains in Brazil are strengthening the prospect of abundant supply. Somar Meteorologia reported that Minas Gerais has received up to 79.8 mm of rain over the past week, 155% above the historical average. Climatempo's forecast of "overwhelming and persistent" rainfall this week continues to ease concerns about crop conditions, putting strong downward pressure on prices.
In addition, supply pressure also increased as Arabica inventories on the ICE exchange recovered to a seven-week high, reaching 432,672 bags on Thursday.
In Vietnam, coffee exports in November increased by 39% over the same period and the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa) forecasts that the output in the 2025/2026 crop year could increase by 10% if the weather is favorable. These signals of abundant supply are overwhelming small-scale supporting factors, causing the price decline to continue in the short term.
Note: The above prices are for reference only updated in key growing areas.
