Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, March 19, witnessed an exciting upward session. Purchasing agents in the Central Highlands region simultaneously adjusted prices sharply up from 1,300 to 1,600 VND/kg, helping the average price of the whole region break through to 92,100 VND/kg. This is an encouraging recovery after a period of price slippage close to the 9,000 VND mark at the beginning of the week.
Specific fluctuations in key localities:
Dak Nong (old): Recorded the strongest increase (+1600 VND), currently leading with a price of 92,300 VND/kg.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai: Also break through by another 1,500 VND, currently purchasing at the mark of 92,000 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: Increased by 1,300 VND, pushing the transaction price to 91,000 VND/kg.
This increase shows the sensitivity of domestic prices in the face of the strong recovery of the London exchange.
World coffee prices
The trading session on Wednesday witnessed mixed developments on the two largest futures exchanges in the world.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): May 2026 futures continued to increase by another 52 USD (+1.47%), closing the session at 3,527 USD/ton. Robusta prices exploded due to inventory on the ICE exchange falling to the lowest level in 2 months (only 4,348 lots), forcing hedge funds to buy in excess. In addition, the disruption of sea transport through the Strait of Hormuz increasing logistics costs continues to be an important support.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): May 2026 delivery fell slightly 1.85 cents (-0.63%), closing at 294.75 cents/lb. Arabica is under pressure from StoneX's record output forecast of 75.3 million bags for Brazil next crop. In addition, Arabica's ICE floor inventory peaked 5.75 months (more than 585,000 bags) also putting downward pressure.
Market outlook
The coffee market is showing a clear polarization. While Arabica is being held back by the forecast of bumper crops and abundant inventories, Robusta is being boosted by the actual shortage of goods on the London exchange.
Although Vietnam's exports in January-February increased by 14%, the closure of themuz Strait is creating a "bottleneck" that slows down global supply, pushing freight rates and insurance prices to skyrocket.
Forecast in the short term, domestic coffee prices will continue to maintain a positive state around 91,500 - 93,000 VND/kg. Weather information in Brazil is still changing positively (Minas Gerais region receiving rain reaching 139% of the historical average), this may be a factor hindering the overheated increase.
